Expect Low-Scoring Affair When Marlins Face Phillies
The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies will both look to produce some fireworks when they meet Tuesday night in Game 2 of their four-game set. The NL East rivals did just that on Monday night for the second time in their last four meetings.
Miami is tied for second place with Atlanta in the NL East standings, one game behind the New York Mets. Philadelphia is in fourth place, a half-game behind the Braves and Marlins. With both ballclubs going all-out for the win, let’s find out where some of the best betting value surrounding this affair lies. The MLB Odds are live in the BetUS online sportsbook.
Game: Philadelphia Phillies (23-25) at Miami Marlins (23-24)
Location: laonDepot Park, Miami, FL Time: 6:40 p.m. ET |
MLB Odds
Philadelphia Phillies +117
Miami Marlins -127
Total: 7
Run Line
Philadelphia +1½ (-200)
Miami -1½ (+170)
Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia Phillies – Vince Velasquez – RHP – (1-0, 3.52 ERA, 40 SO)
Miami Marlins – Sandy Alcantara – RHP – (2-3, 3.63 ERA, 60 SO)
1st Inning Winner
Phillies +375
Marlins +300
Tie -190
Analysis: Philadelphia ranks fifth in first-inning runs scored (0.73) while Miami ranks 28th (0.34). Philly has scored 1.33 first-inning runs over its last three games by putting four first-inning runs on the board against Boston on Sunday. Miami has not scored a single run in the first inning in its last three games. The tie selection is going to cost you -190, but it’s the smart pick.
Pick: Tie
Vince Velasquez Total Strikeouts
Over 5½ Strikeouts -115
Under 5½ Strikeouts -115
Analysis: Velasquez has racked up at least six Ks in each of his last three starts. The right-hander had three strikeouts in 1.1 relief innings against Boston on Friday. Play the Over.
Pick: Over 5½ Strikeouts
Sandy Alcantara Total Strikeouts
Over 6½ Strikeouts +125
Under 6½ Strikeouts -155
Analysis: Alcantara struck out a season-high nine batters in six innings against … Philadelphia – in his last start on Thursday. The right-hander has four outings of at least 7 Ks in his last 10 starts overall. I’m going with the Over, barely.
Pick: Over 6½ Strikeouts
Miguel Rojas Total Bases
Over 1½ Bases +140
Under 1½ Bases -170
Analysis: Rojas is tied for 57th in total bases with 73 in 163 at-bats. The 32-year-old shortstop is batting .282 and went 1-for-2 with a walk and a double on Monday night. The smart money is on the Over.
Pick: Over 1½ Bases
Total Runs
5 runs or less +155
6 or 7 runs +325
8 or 9 runs +425
10 or 11 runs +600
12 or more runs +425
Analysis: The last time Vince Velasquez took the mound, there were six runs scored. The last time Sandy Alcantara took the bump, there were identical six runs scored. Yeah….I’m going with six!
Pick: 6 or 7 runs +325
Winning Margin
Phillies to win by 1 run +600
Phillies to win by 2 runs +750
Marlins to win by 1 run +425
Marlins to win by 2 runs +700
Marlins to win by 3 runs +900
Marlins to win by 4 or more runs +340
Analysis: Philadelphia’s bullpen is borderline atrocious. Ok, forget the borderline part, they’re abysmal. Miami’s staff has been mostly fantastic. The Marlins win by a pair of runs.