The Texas Rangers (78-64) are 3-7 in their last 10 games and are half-game back of the final wild-card spot in the American League. Texas snapped its two-series losing streak with a 2-1 win over the Oakland Athletics over the weekend. The Rangers are looking to stack momentum, as they travel to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (80-63), who are 6-1 in their last seven.
Dane Dunning (9-6, 3.88 ERA) vs Chris Bassitt (14-7, 3.69)
In the first two months of the season, Dane Dunning boasted a 2.06 ERA. Since June, he has a 4.78 ERA. Dunning’s numbers continue to spiral amid the postseason push. He has a 5.54 ERA since August and allowed 11 hits and nine earned runs in his previous outing. Dunning must find a way to limit sluggers, as he has surrendered eight home runs in his last five starts.
Chris Bassitt is hitting his stride at the perfect time with a 2.66 ERA since August. After allowing at least one homer in six consecutive starts, Bassitt has not allowed a long ball in back-to-back starts. He has also surrendered only one run during the span and pitched for eight innings in both starts.
Dunning Doomed Against Jays’ Top Slugger?
Considering Dunning’s recent struggles with the long ball, picking a batter to go yard is among the top parlay bets for Sept. 11. First baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the first slugger that comes to mind when looking at the Blue Jays’ roster.
However, Guerrero’s homers are down this season. He has 21 and could finish with his lowest total since 2020. Why is Guerrero still a good bet to go yard?
Against Dunning, Guerrero has a batting average of .375 in eight at-bats. Dunning is in the bottom 38% of Savant’s hard-hit percentage. His recent struggles with big flies are no fluke. Guerrero ranks in the top 7% of hard-hit percentage.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has Toronto going CRAZY! pic.twitter.com/qUAff2M1YR
— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) September 9, 2023
Slumping Texas in Trouble Against Toronto’s Pitching
Texas is on a cold streak with its playoff hopes in danger. Our MLB lines have the Rangers at -125 to make the postseason. Right fielder Adolis Garcia and rookie third baseman Josh Jung remain on the injured list. Jung ranks sixth on the team in batting average, while Garcia leads the team in homers. These are All-Stars that hit in the heart of the batting order. Without them, Texas could be a poor bet.
The Blue Jays rank second in allowed runs per game and have surrendered only 2.6 runs in their last five games. The Rangers have been held to three or fewer runs in four of their last five games.
With Bassitt pitching well, expect Toronto to win Game 1. This could be paired with Bassitt reaching six strikeouts. The Rangers are in the bottom half of strikeouts per game, and Bassitt has reached six strikeouts in six of his last eight starts. Stack up on MLB prop bets for Game 1.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Odds
Rangers vs Blue Jays Game Information
- Game: Rangers (78-64) vs Blue Jays (80-63)
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Date: Monday, Sept 11, 7:07 PM
- Rangers vs Blue Jays Live Stream: MLB.tv