Rangers vs Padres Prediction, Picks and MLB Prop Bets for Saturday, 7/5: San Diego Wins Again Over Texas

Paolo Go

· Jul 05 - 4 minutes read

Texas Rangers

San Diego Padres

+1½ -195

Run Line

-1½ +168

+106

Moneyline

-116

O 8 -110

Total

U 8 -110

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Rangers vs Padres Prediction, Picks and MLB Prop Bets for Saturday, 7/5: San Diego Wins Again Over Texas — Corey Seager | © David Frerker-Imagn Images

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Bet on San Diego (-116) to win yet another one against visiting Texas.
I have Texas’ Corey Seager to continue to struggle, finishing under 1.5 hits (-145).

The Texas Rangers and San Diego Padres meet again at Petco Park on Saturday, and we’ve got our eyes on the MLB best bets for this contest. San Diego continued its dominance over Texas with a win in the opener and has now won 13 of the last 14 matchups between these teams.

Meanwhile, the under has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings. This matchup favors value on the Padres, along with some sneaky player props.

Rangers vs Padres Prediction and Best Bets Today, July 5

My prediction

Padres ML (-116)

Texas is in a funk on the road and has lost at Petco Park in seven straight tries. The Padres enter this one with the momentum. Right-hander Stephen Kolek is expected to pitch for San Diego, and he’s quietly been effective in limited outings. With Patrick Corbin starting and a shaky Texas bullpen behind him, the edge in this one lies with San Diego. A win here aligns nicely with the Padres’ long-term upside in the MLB futures odds.

Bet On Padres ML (-116)

“Sorry, Jacob” 🤭 pic.twitter.com/a6mlfz6qy6

— San Diego Padres (@Padres) July 5, 2025

Rangers vs Padres Under 8 (-105)

Don’t expect fireworks, even with some pop in these lineups. The under has hit in 14 of the last 19 interleague games for Texas. Kolek and Corbin aren’t elite arms, but both teams have struggled to cash in scoring chances in this matchup and Petco remains a pitcher-friendly park. With bullpens that can keep things contained late, this is one of the stronger MLB picks for the night.

Bet on Rangers vs Padres Under 8 (-105)

Rangers vs Padres Prop Picks and Best Prop Bets

Corey Seager Total Bases From Hits Under 1.5 (-145)

It’s hard to fade a hitter as good as Corey Seager, but the spot isn’t great. He has not hit at Petco Park since 2021, where he had one hit in 13 at-bats. He has a career .321 OPS here, which is below average by his standards. Facing a righty with decent command and a bullpen that neutralizes lefties, the under on his total bases prop is one of the savvier MLB props today.

Bet On Corey Seager Total Bases From Hits Under 1.5 (-145)

Team to Score First: Padres (-103)

San Diego has jumped out early in four of its last five games and tends to strike quickly at home. Texas, on the other hand, has struggled to get going in unfamiliar parks and has scored first in only one of its last six road games. With the edge in pitching and recent trends on its side, San Diego to get on the board first makes sense in light of the MLB latest news.

Bet On Team To Score First: Padres (-103)

Rangers vs Padres NRFI (-107)

The NRFI has cashed in four of the Padres’ last five games and continues to be a sneaky value play in this ballpark. Neither Kolek nor Corbin is dominant, but both teams rank in the bottom third of the majors in first-inning scoring percentage. Given the sluggish early offenses, this is one of the best MLB prop picks today to round out your card.

Bet On Rangers vs Padres NRFI (-107)