The Tampa Bay Rays take their league-leading 13-2 record on the road for a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds. The Rays’ season start was impressive, but regression is incoming and may have begun over the weekend. The Rays lost two of three games, losing their first series this season to the Toronto Blue Jays. The MLB lines list the Rays as -140 moneyline favorites and -1½ (+105) on the run line.
Rays Most Profitable Team ATS
The Rays had one of the greatest starts to a season in MLB history after winning their first 13 games in a row. Impressive as that is, the Rays were beating up on some of the worst teams in the MLB, including the Detroit Tigers, Washington Nationals and Oakland Athletics. Monday brings another series against a bottomfeeder team, giving Tampa Bay another chance to sweep.
TAMPA BAY RAYS WHAT HAPPENED?!!?? 0-2 AGAINST A REAL TEAM. pic.twitter.com/ZCnfQm7wwF
— Gate 14 Podcast (@Gate14Pod) April 15, 2023
Regarding MLB betting online, the Rays have the best record against the spread (ATS) at 13-3, with a league-leading return on investment (ROI) of 54.83%. On the road, they are 4-2 ATS.
Southpaw Jalen Beeks (0-0, 3.00) will serve as an opener on Monday in his fifth season appearance. He started against the Boston Red Sox last Monday with two scoreless innings and two strikeouts. In limited action, Beeks has fantastic numbers against the Reds, with a 0.69 batting average and a .103 slugging percentage.
I don’t like betting on teams using openers in baseball, even with the third-best bullpen ERA in the MLB (2.47). The Rays might have the best record, but I’m hesitant about adding them to my MLB betting slip for Monday.
Reds Back to Losing Ways
After winning three of their first four games of the season, some overly-optimistic MLB betting fans thought the Reds were worth a few betting units. However, the Reds proved to be who we thought they were, and enter the week at 6-9 and in last place in the NL Central.
The Reds got crushed by the Philadelphia Phillies 14-3 on Sunday and are now 2-5 in their previous seven games. Cincy allowed 23 hits and lost their starting third baseman Spencer Steer to injury in the ninth inning.
Despite their poor straight-up record, the Reds are 5-4 ATS at home with an ROI of 26.96%. But their light success against the MLB spread doesn’t make them a good bet at the Great American Ball Park.
Hunter Greene (0-0, 5.14) starts his fourth game of the season, with the Reds 0-3 in his previous three appearances. A rotten 1.64 ERA overshadows Greene’s awful ERA. Greene is a strikeout specialist, but that’s about all he’s doing right this season. He has a brutal .346 batting average against the Rays in 26 at-bats.
Rays vs Reds Game Injuries
Rays vs Reds Head-to-Head
The Reds swept the Rays 3-0 last season and covered as +1½ underdogs on the MLB odds board in each game. Before that, the pair hadn’t played since 2017. The Over/Under was 1-2 in their lone series in 2022.
Rays vs Reds Game Information
- Game: Rays (14-2) vs Reds (6-9)
- Location Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Day/Time: Monday, April 17, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Rays vs Reds Live stream: MLB.tv
Rays vs Reds Betting Lines
Rays vs Reds Picks & Prediction
The Rays were exposed by the Blue Jays as a team that is skilled in beating bad teams and struggling against those with a winning record. Considering the Rays are 13-0 ATS against teams with records of .500 or under, I will trust Tampa Bay with my MLB picks to get back on track in Cincinnati.
The Tampa Bay Rays are listed at -149 in our Vegas MLB lines. If you wager $100 on the Rays, you can win $67. The Cincinnati Reds are +134, offering a chance to win $134 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Rays a 59.84% chance to win, with the Reds at 42.74.