The San Diego Padres lived up to their hype in Friday’s series opener with the visiting Seattle Mariners, winning,16-1. The Padres are 12th in baseball in runs scored but they’ve been on a hot streak of late, winning 10 of 11 and hitting double digits in runs three times. Fernando Tatis Jr. hit one of three San Diego home runs to lead a 17-hit attack. Seattle has been slumping, scoring a total of four runs over a current four-game losing streak. Let’s take a look at the MLB odds and decide if we want to go over or under.
|Game: Seattle Mariners (21-24) at San Diego Padres (28-17)
Location: Oracle Park
Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
|Seattle Mariners||Over 7½||-115|
|San Diego Padres||Under 7½||-105|
Left-hander Justus Sheffield will take the mound for the Mariners. Sheffield enters with a 3-3 record and 4.62 ERA in his seven starts. His last start was last Saturday against Cleveland, as he went six innings and allowed two runs on five hits. It was the second straight start and sixth of his seven starts in which he has given up multiple runs this season, with a May 2 six-inning, two-hitter against the Angels being his only start without giving up a run.
Having Tatis playing well is only going to fire up the rest of the Padres’ offense, and the All-Star shortstop is playing great, going 6-for-8 with two doubles, two home runs, and six RBI in his two games since returning from a COVID-19-caused break of 10 days. Jake Cronenworth had a home run and double and drove in five runs on Friday night, providing another offensive boost to a team that is battling for the NL West lead.
The Padres will hand the ball to the 21-year-old Ryan Weathers for his fifth career start. The left-hander is 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA in nine appearances, his first season in the major leagues. He also has a save and has allowed four runs in 26⅓ innings. Weathers shouldn’t have a lot of problems with a slumping Seattle offense, though he has just one appearance of more than four innings, an April 22 start against the Dodgers in which he allowed just one hit and struck out six.
Seattle is going through a transition to younger players, and that hasn’t helped the consistency of the offense. The Mariners are last in baseball with a team batting average of .197, while the team’s 170 runs is tied for 23rd in MLB. Third baseman Kyle Seager and outfielder Mitch Haniger are tied for the team lead with 30 RBI, with Haniger hitting a team-high 12 home runs.
The weather should be clear and cool, with temperatures in the lower 60s. There is little chance for rain and not much wind is forecast.
The total line opened at 7½ and has stayed there.
The Padres have the motivation to play well this weekend with the Giants and Dodgers — the teams San Diego is fighting with for the NL West lead — playing a series by the Bay. San Diego should be able to put plenty of runs on the board, even if the Mariners can’t do much to help the total. Banking on the San Diego offense to put up big numbers again is worth the risk. When doing your MLB betting, take the over.