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MLB Today Player Props: Ride Pepiot, Fade LHPs Gore, Anderson

We have another beautiful schedule of MLB games today. Our consistently profitable MLB picks are here to deliver. I’m looking for a sweep on Wednesday night, and our past success should give you the confidence to tag along. We are coming off another 2-1 day. The beauty of MLB betting is that it’s a long season, so I’ll remind you that it’s a marathon, and we can build a profit for months.

Let’s delve into Wednesday’s MLB schedule, which boasts 12 thrilling matchups tonight. While there are numerous options for MLB player prop bets today, I’ve narrowed down the best for you based on rigorous criteria and comprehensive analysis, ensuring you’re well-prepared before placing your bets. Brace yourself for a day filled with exhilarating MLB action.

MLB Today Player Props: Ride Pepiot, Fade LHPs Gore, Anderson
Ryan Pepiot #44 of the Tampa Bay Rays/Mike Carlson/Getty Images/AFP

I’m eagerly anticipating a massive day and a successful sweep on Wednesday!

 

Best MLB Player Props Today

Rays SP Ryan Pepiot Over 6½ Strikeouts (+102)

I’m firing on a plus-money strikeout prop with our first MLB bet tonight. We’re fading the Oakland Athletics in this spot. The Tampa Bay Rays will send 26-year-old righty Ryan Pepiot to the bump against the A’s at Tropicana Field. Pepiot was the key piece of the trade that sent Tyler Glasnow to the Dodgers. He made his return from the 15-day IL last week after a line drive struck him in the leg. Before his short stint on the IL, he emerged as the top arm in Tampa Bay’s starting rotation.

Pepiot was excellent for the Dodgers last season, making eight appearances and posting a 2.14 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, and a 7.6 K/BB ratio! He made six starts in April, exceeding this line in three. Before his injury, his four-seam fastball recorded the highest WHIFF% of any four-seamers among starting pitchers. Pepiot posted 117 Stuff+ and an excellent 21.3% K/BB%. He is in the 90 percentile in WHIFF% and 80 percentile in K%.

Oakland has hung in there through the season’s first quarter but has struggled over the last two weeks. The A’s had the most strikeouts in MLB over the previous two weeks. Oakland has the second-highest K% and highest WHIFF% in MLB. The Athletics have the second-most strikeouts in MLB, behind only the Seattle Mariners. Bank on Pepiot to fan at least seven Oakland batters.

 

 

 

Nationals SP MacKenzie Gore Over 2½ Earned Runs (-129)

This is a ton of juice to be sipping on for an earned runs prop that has only hit twice through MacKenzie Gore’s 10 starts this season, but I’m highly confident this will be cash for us today. We faded the Nats’ starting pitcher against the Braves on Monday, and it came through for us despite a sweat.

Washington will send the southpaw Gore to the rubber against the Atlanta Braves. Gore has a respectable 3.04 ERA through his first 10 starts. He has allowed fewer than three earned runs in six consecutive starts but finished with two runs allowed in four of his last five. This Atlanta lineup will get to him tonight.

We learned earlier this week that reigning NL MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. will miss the remainder of the season due to a torn ACL. It’s devastating news for the Braves, but I’m not looking to fade them yet. Atlanta has some of the best bats against lefties, including Marcell Ozuna (.354, 3 HRs, 48 ABs vs. LHP), Ozzie Albies (.333, 2 HRs, 45 ABs vs. LHP) and Travis D’Arnaud (.355, 4 HRs, 31 ABs vs. LHP).

Most things have stayed the same for this Braves lineup since last season. Atlanta also had the highest batting average and OPS versus left-handed pitchers in 2023. The Braves are in the top 10 in both OPS and batting average against southpaws this season.

Atlanta is a different animal at home, with the third-highest batting average in its home ballpark (.262). Gore pitched in Atlanta for the first time last June and allowed five runs on four hits in five innings of work. Gore is having a breakout season, but he’s leaning too much on his four-seam fastball (55% of pitches thrown) for my liking. I expect Ozuna and company to get to him here. Trust the Braves’ bats to put up runs early.

 

Angels SP Tyler Anderson Over 4½ Hits Allowed (-154)

I’ve been fading the Los Angeles Angels all season long, and I’m going right back to it tonight against the red-hot Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees. We faded Griffin Canning against the Yanks on Tuesday night and it cashed, so I’m going right back and trusting the Bronx Bombers again here.

The Los Angeles Angels are coming off a poor stretch of games that saw them get swept by the Guardians. Somehow, the Angels stole the series opener from New York on Tuesday, but they are still mediocre. The Yankees continue their nine-game, 10-day West Coast road trip and continue this series against the Halos.

Los Angeles will send left-hander Tyler Anderson to the mound tonight. Anderson has made 10 starts this season and allowed at least five hits in four. He owns an excellent 2.52 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his 10th MLB season. Anderson is coming off consecutive strong outings, allowing just one run apiece to the Astros and Rangers.

However, he allowed at least five hits in four of his last five starts. The underlying metrics suggest that Anderson has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league. He has an xERA of 4.61 and is allowing a ton of barrels, ranking 16th percentile in barrel %.

The Bronx Bombers are back and continue to beat up starting pitchers. The Yankees have the highest OPS in the league (.770). The Bombers have the second-highest overall batting average in May (.267) and the highest OPS (.808). Judge has been on a tear this month. New York has at least five hits against six consecutive starting pitchers and 14 of their last 15 overall.

The Yankees lead the league with 82 homers. The Bronx Bombers will bounce back early tonight.

 

 

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

 

Questions Of The Day

Who is the best MLB team on the run line this season?


The Kansas City Royals are the most profitable team on the run line, going 35-21 and hitting 62.5% of the time.

Who is the worst MLB team on the run line this season?


The Texas Rangers are the worst team on the run line, going 22-33 and hitting 40% of the time.

 


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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