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How To Bet Today’s NRFI/YRFI Action: Early Runs at Fenway Park

Just four games on the Thursday night schedule in the majors. We’ll take half of them to give you two solid MLB picks on the RIFI front. Read on and then make your wagers accordingly.


How To Bet Today’s NRFI/YRFI Action: Early Runs at Fenway Park
Gio Urshela #13 of the Detroit Tigers | Rick Osentoski/Getty Images/AFP

Tigers at Red Sox: Mediocrity Meet-Up

Detroit comes to Fenway a game under .500 to face the .500 Red Sox for the first of four games. Boston, so often a dominant team at home over the years, enters with an 11-15 mark at Fenway Park.

Nick Pivetta has made only two starts at home this year for the Red Sox but he’s fallen in line with the team’s home woes, giving up seven runs in nine innings on Lansdowne Street. Pivetta is 1-2 with a 6.16 ERA in four starts since coming off the IL earlier this month.

The 31-year-old has given up seven home runs on the year and three of them have come in the first inning. That’s led to five runs scored against him in six opening frames, a trend the Tigers will try to exploit. They’ve done so plenty this year, ranking fourth in the majors in first-inning scoring percentage on the road at 38.46%.

Detroit will hope for some length out of Jack Flaherty after enduring a doubleheader split with Pittsburgh on Wednesday. He’s been able to provide that with regularity this year, completing at least six innings in nine of his last 10 starts.

The former first-round pick is looking a lot more like the guy who once shined for the Cardinals before some struggles the last couple of years. However, he is someone who can be had early in games.

Flaherty has a 5.40 ERA in the first inning and a 7.20 mark in the second, with opponents hitting .296 between those two frames. He’s also made one career start at Fenway (last year) and it was a rough one, as the Sox got to him for five runs on eight hits in 3⅓ innings.

Boston is fifth in the majors in first-inning OPS (.827) and will challenge Flaherty right away. There is rain in the forecast so check out that end of things before placing your MLB bet.

First Inning to Score: YES


Nationals at Braves: Reborn Reynaldo, Williams Meet in Atlanta

Reynaldo Lopez is coming off his shortest start of the year for Atlanta, an uneven 4⅔ innings at Pittsburgh on Saturday. He was fine through a scoreless first, however, and has now posted nine of those in his nine starts.

Opponents are hitting just .161 with one extra-base hit (a double) in those nine first innings, as Lopez consistently sets a solid tone for the Braves. Washington, which ranks 29th in all of baseball in first-inning scoring percentage (14.81) should be easy pickings.

Trevor Williams gets the ball in the bottom of the first as he looks to keep a strong campaign going. The veteran righty is 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA through his first 10 starts and he had eight strikeouts against zero walks in five solid frames his last time out against Seattle.

Without Ronald Acuna Jr., the Braves aren’t nearly the first-inning threat they once were. In fact, they rank 19th in the league in runs per first at 0.43, less than half what they averaged last year with Acuna winning the MVP.

Williams has posted a 1.80 ERA in the first inning. As with Lopez, opponents have only one extra-base hit (a double) in 33 first-inning at-bats vs Williams, who has performed pretty well against Atlanta over the years (3.48).

First Inning to Score: NO


Ready to Bet? View the current MLB odds now.



Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.


Questions Of The Day

Are there any MLB news items that might impact wagering on Thursday?

Well, this probably won’t affect anything short-term, but the Mets seem like a disaster right now, with their players (now ex-player) even saying so. New York opens a set with Arizona at home on Friday.

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