Top 2 ALCS Parlay Picks for Yankees vs Guardians Game 3 October 17

· Oct 17 - 4 minutes read

Cleveland’s Matthew Boyd has 4+ strikeouts in nine of his last 10 starts.
Boyd and the Indians have -103 MLB betting odds to win Game 3 of the ALCS.
Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt has fanned 5+ batters in 14 of 16 starts during the regular season.
The combined odds at the BetUS Sportsbook for this parlay are +300

It’s time to get bold for ALCS Game 3 between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, and we’ve cooked up an MLB parlay that’s sharper than a 12-to-6 curveball. If you’re looking for value, you’ve come to the right place because Matthew Boyd and Clarke Schmidt are ready to dial up the K’s and cash tickets.

Yankees vs Guardians Odds: Top 2 ALCS Parlay Picks for Game 3 — Matthew Boyd #16 of the Cleveland Guardians | Nick Cammett/Getty Images/AFP

Boyd’s been slicing through hitters post-Tommy John like a samurai sword through butter, while Schmidt is quietly having a breakout season. Let’s dig into why these two MLB predictions are winning bets for Game 3.

Top 2 Parlay Picks for Yankees vs Guardian ALCS Game 3

1. Parlay Leg 1: Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-125)

Cleveland’s Matthew Boyd to go Over 3.5 strikeouts? If you’re doubting this MLB player prop, it might be time to reconsider your life choices. The guy returned from Tommy John surgery and started carving up lineups like a butcher at Thanksgiving.

In his eight regular-season starts, Boyd dropped a tidy 2.72 ERA with 46 strikeouts in just under 40 innings. That’s a 27.7% strikeout rate, which would’ve been 13th in the majors if he qualified for leaderboards. Not too shabby for a guy with a rebuilt elbow, right?

Matthew Boyd’s Wicked Sliders in the 2nd.

5Ks thru 2. pic.twitter.com/qyStjnUm9n

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 12, 2024

But it gets better. He’s been a postseason buzzsaw, striking out 10 batters in 6 2/3 innings across two starts. He’s done all this without giving up a single run. The Yankees? They might lead the league in slugging against right-handers, but their number against lefties like Boyd? A mediocre .387.

The MLB news on Boyd is not just good — he’s been money. He’s struck out at least four batters in nine of his last 10 starts, and with New York flailing against lefties, 3.5 strikeouts feels crazy low.

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2. Parlay Leg 2: Clarke Schmidt Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+122)

Yankees right-hander Clarke Schmidt over 4.5 strikeouts at +122 MLB lines at BetUS? At this point, Vegas is just handing out free cash. Schmidt had the best season of his career in 2024, sporting a 2.85 ERA and punching out 93 hitters in just 85 1/3 innings. That’s over a strikeout per inning, in case you’re keeping track. He hit the 5+ strikeout mark in 14 of his 16 starts this year — an 88% hit rate for the math nerds.

In his first postseason start, Schmidt was cruising with four scoreless innings before Kansas City got to him in the fifth. He finished with four strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings, which feels more like a fluke than a trend. In his lone regular-season matchup against Cleveland, Schmidt embarrassed them with seven strikeouts in five innings.

God please have the Yankee offense elite today with a masterful performance by Clarke Schmidt 🙏🏽🙏🏽 pic.twitter.com/DU14OaPh7H

— JC🇵🇷 (@CantH0LDMe) October 17, 2024

He’s also ranked in the 79th percentile in whiff rate and 74th in strikeout rate, meaning he’s got the stuff to get hitters to miss. The only thing that could hold him back is the hook—he’ll need to go five innings or more to hit this number. But if Schmidt’s on the mound and breathing, you can almost bank on him cruising past 4.5 K’s in your MLB betting picks. Take the plus money and thank me later.