The two World Series games in Philadelphia have been about as different as two games can be. It’s hard to predict what will happen in Game 5, but there are loads of prop plays to consider. We had a few winners in our Game 4 outlook and see some big targets at the sportsbook for some Game 5 betting online.
Battle of Bullpens Gives Houston an Edge
The Philadelphia Phillies will likely need to go to their bullpen rather early in this one, as Noah Syndergaard is not a long-term solution. Given the sheer dominance of Houston’s relief corps this postseason (four earned runs in 47⅓ innings), that puts the Astros in a great spot as the game wears on. The Phillies’ pen is nothing to sneeze at, but they could be stretched thin in Game 5, and someone, somewhere, will make a mistake.
- The picks: Tie/Astros double result (+750), Astros race to five runs (+135), Astros to win by two runs (+600)
Start Me Up: Verlander’s Due
Justin Verlander’s World Series shortcomings have been well-documented. The media and fans alike have been (and will be) reminding him of this every chance they get. The star right-hander won’t be bothered by that and is in line for a much better outing than the one he had in Game 1.
Consider that in compiling his 0-6 record and 6.07 ERA in eight World Series starts, most of the damage against him has been done in Game 1s. The layoff, the build-up, the never-ending media sessions, the pomp, and circumstance…all of that has – for whatever reason – made it tough on Verlander in World Series openers. He has a 10.29 ERA over three career Game 1 starts in the Fall Classic, a 5.25 ERA in two Game 2 starts, and a 3.18 ERA in three starts from Game 5 on.
- The picks: Justin Verlander over 5½ strikeouts (-150), Justin Verlander under 4½ hits allowed (-140)
Take a Look at Other Analysis, Picks & Predictions for The World Series
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- Phillies vs Astros Game 6 Prediction, Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks – Nov 5
First Things First
While we like the Astros to have the edge as the game wears on, we also think they have a better chance of getting the early jump in scoring. As Verlander produced a 1.61 ERA in the first inning of games this year (and threw a 1-2-3 first in Game 1), Syndergaard had a 6.08 mark.
Opponents also ran like the wind against Syndergaard, keeping the pressure on the big right-hander. There were nine stolen bases and just one caught stealing against him in his 24 first innings. Expect Jose Altuve and others to give him a battle and, quite possibly, put Houston on the board quickly.
- The picks: The Astros first-inning winner (+240) and first-inning total hits over 1½ (-140)
Diaz, Bohm Unlikely Choices at the Dish
There isn’t much history between Syndergaard and the Astros, but Aledmys Diaz is 2-for-6 with a home run and two walks against him. Diaz is hitless in the series (0-for-8) but could be a sneaky selection to add to your MLB picks.
Playing off a Game 1 result, we like Alec Bohm as an underdog choice for a double. He had one against Verlander in that encounter and has the worst odds – and therefore best payout – on the board in this category.
- The picks: Aledmys Diaz to record a hit (-220), Alec Bohm to hit a double (+600)
“The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.”