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Miami Marlins 2025 Season Preview

The Miami Marlins have been in the MLB postseason twice since winning the World Series in 2003. And they have not won a playoff game since that World-Series clinching victory. That tells you hard times have come on a team that specializes in shedding salary and talented players.

They may not finish last in the NL East – it figures to be a scrap with the Washington Nationals – but do not expect them to be anywhere near the top three teams in the division. Toss out the COVID-19-shortened season, and the Marlins have not been closer than 20 games out of first place in every season since 2017. The last 162-game season that saw them less than 10 games out of first at the end was 2009.

 

2025 Miami Marlins Win Total Projection & World Series Odds

In MLB news, the Marlins’ win total projection is a tiny 53½. In fact, they could win fewer games than the Dodgers lose. That’s how lopsided the difference between the National League teams is. When it comes to MLB playoff predictions, you won’t find the Marlins tabbed as a postseason choice. And when it comes to the World Series odds, how about +50000? Those are the kind of MLB predictions that come with a team finishing over .500 in a full season once since 2009.

 

2025 Miami Marlins Projected Starting Lineup

  • Xavier Edwards, SS
  • Jonah Bride, 3B
  • Matt Mervis, 1B
  • Eric Wagaman, DH
  • Griffin Conine, RF
  • Derek Hill, CF
  • Kyle Stowers, LF
  • Otto Lopez, 2B
  • Nick Fortes, C

 

Lineup Strengths and Weaknesses

Who are these guys? Miami had 150 home runs and 125 stolen bases in 2024 when it won 62 games and lost a nice round 100. Jake Burger had 29 home runs and he is gonzo, off to the Texas Rangers. That will put pressure on Bride at third base.

Conine is the son of former MLB player Geoff Conine. He hit .268 last year in limited exposure to the big leagues.

It seems that Edwards is their most exciting player. He hit .328 in 265 at-bats while stealing 31 bases.

The outfield will be missing Jesus Sanchez with one of those familiar MLB injuries, an oblique strain, to start the season.

Being brutally honest, MLB teams are not going to fear this lineup. The Marlins can only hope young players continue to grow to make MLB matchups more level.

 

Miami Marlins Projected Starting Rotation

1. Sandy Alcantara, RHP
2. Cal Quantrill, RHP
3. Max Meyer, RHP
4. Connor Gillispie, RHP
5. Valente Bellozo, RHP

 

Other than the great Alcantra, who missed the entire 2024 season after Tommy John Surgery, and new addition Quantrill the names are basically unfamiliar unless you are hardcore seamhead.

More MLB injuries will impact the rotation with Edward Cabrera (blister) and left-hander Ryan Weathers (left forearm flexor strain) not in shape to start the regular season.

It will be interesting to see if anyone makes MLB picks for someone other than Alcantra to reach double digits in wins. The picture is that grim.

 

Projected Bullpen

Per MLB.com: RHP Calvin Faucher, RHP Jesus Tinoco, RHP Anthony Bender, RHP Lake Bachar, RHP George Soriano, RHP Ronny Henriquez, RHP Seth Martinez, LHP Josh Simpson

Tanner Scott had 18 saves before being dispatched to the Padres last season. It’s just a fire sale and early-bird specials in Miami when it comes to talent. There are multiple MLB injuries to a bunch of pitchers who could contribute out of the bullpen. Manager Skip Schumaker is going to have to have a lot of patience and be able to deal with stress.

 

Miami Marlins Schedule and Key Matchups

Would love to paint a rosy picture for the Marlins and whoever is left in their fan base. Absorbing losses continues to be the flavor in South Beach.

The schedule will see them open at home for six games. However, Miami catches the Mets for a half-dozen split between home and Citi Field in the first two stands. Throw in a road trip to Atlanta and you can see this going South rather quickly. The Marlins could be a team to go against when making MLB baseball parlay picks to boost payoffs on moneyline by taking the opponents as heavy favorites and looking for value elsewhere.

They get the Dodgers at home and on the road for a three-game series bridging April and May. Would one win out of six be asking too much?

June will see 10 home games and 15 on the road. That run spells trouble with a capital “T.”

The first 17 days of August read like a gauntlet: Yankees, Astros, Braves, Guardians, and Red Sox. By then, it won’t matter where games are played. The Marlins will need Alcantra at his best to be a stopper when it comes to losing streaks.

September will see two three-game series with the Phillies and a season-closing three-game run against the Mets at home. Do not expect this team to make it to October. In fact, it would be borderline astonishing.

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