CFL Odds, Picks: Bet Against Scoring in Week 12
- CFL Week 12 has a trio of home teams favored on the odds
- Our CFL expert likes a wily underdog for Sunday’s game
- Find these top Canadian football betting lines at BetUS!
In what is shaping to be similar to CFL Week 10, Week 12 features home teams with favorable CFL football odds. Three of the four hosts are favored. The Ottawa Redblacks are the only home team not favored and they are nearly at pick’em odds against the BC Lions. Canadian quarterback Nathan Rourke was rusty in his return for BC. But with that game under his belt, he could recapture his All-Star form. As for the other games …
3 CFL Betting Predictions, Picks for Week 12
1. Could Roughriders Make It Rough for Returning Argos QB?
Chad Kelly is back under the spotlight for the Toronto Argonauts. The league reinstated Kelly under a “last-chance agreement.” In short, he could be out of the league if doesn’t keep things straight. On the football field, it could still be rough for the QB. He may have a target on his back and he’s not played real football since that epic playoff collapse.
MONTREAL TO THE GREY CUP
The Alouettes come into Toronto and defeat the 16-2 Argos by a score of 38-17 to punch their ticket to the Grey Cup.
A complete team win for Montreal in front of the largest ever attendance for an Argos playoff game at BMO Field. pic.twitter.com/BfEpfHK62m
— Devin Heroux (@Devin_Heroux) November 11, 2023
However, Toronto hosts a team with one win in its last six games. The Roughriders are also just 2-4 against the spread (ATS) during this span. Toronto has also covered 15 of its last 21 home games. The BMO Field tends to be sparsely filled but the Argos play much better at home.
The total is at 50, which seems suspiciously high. Toronto’s defense has struggled this season and lets opposing quarterbacks average a 104.6 passer rating. But Saskatchewan’s offense has averaged only 22 points in the last six games. It’s hard to bet on this one going over. So take Toronto to win and for the total to go under on the CFL lines.
Bet on Toronto Argonauts -2½ (-115)
2. Ascendant Blue Bombers Seek Another Statement Win
Talks of Winnipeg’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. Anchored by their steely defense, the Blue Bombers have now won four of their last six games. On top of that, the Bombers have covered in consecutive games for the first time this season. Now, it enters as the widest favorite for Week 12 at – 9½ on the CFL spreads.
wouldn’t call these lowlights. #ForTheW pic.twitter.com/QxEPPSFyhg
— Winnipeg Blue Bombers (@Wpg_BlueBombers) August 19, 2024
Winnipeg opened as 10-point favorites thanks to Hamilton’s miserable season. The Tiger-Cats fired defensive coordinator Mark Washington and replaced him with Chris Jones. It was inevitable for Washington as the “Tabbies” are dead last in scoring defense at 33.4. That’s why the total here is set at 48½ points despite Winnipeg’s woes on offense.
QB Zach Collaros is still not slinging it like he used to. The Bombers average the fewest points in the CFL at 20.8 per game. The total has gone under in all but one of Winnipeg’s games this season. This is the bet we’d make as Winnipeg could exploit Hamilton’s shaken players. We won’t bet on Winnipeg to go over the total by itself.
Bet on Blue Bombers, Tiger-Cats Under 48½ (-110)
3. Alouettes Look to Slow Down Elks
Speaking of Chris Jones, his old team Edmonton has looked sharper since his dismissal. The Elks have won three straight games while averaging a whopping 40.7 points. Edmonton had its way with Hamilton partly due to injuries. But we also can’t ignore the Elks’ potent rushing attack.
Climbin’ the ranks 📈
Justin Rankin rushes for his second TD tonight!#CFLGameDay LIVE on TSN & CBSSN
📲: Stream on CFL+ pic.twitter.com/ZXNBpRzbhp— CFL (@CFL) August 18, 2024
Edmonton is now third in the CFL in rushing yards per game (106.7) and is second in yards per attempt (5.5). But this rushing attack could get stonewalled against Montreal, which is more prolific on both sides of the ball. It will be hard for the Elks to keep to a run-heavy approach when Montreal is ahead.
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The Alouettes are 9-1 for the season and 7-3 ATS. They are also 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team under .500. Montreal has not slowed down since its Grey Cup-winning run last season. And playing in Montreal, where it is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 home games, the spread looks justified.
However, Edmonton has also played well against Montreal. The Elks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in Montreal. This includes their first meeting this season. Going against Montreal is a daunting task, but give us Edmonton’s points given the online betting lines.
Bet on Edmonton Elks +6½ (-110)
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
Who is the favorite to win the CFL Grey Cup?
The Montreal Alouettes have the shortest CFL Grey Cup odds at +180 entering Week 12.
Why did the Edmonton Elks change their name?
Edmonton changed its team name from “Eskimos” to “Elks” as the former is considered a colonial-era derogatory remark against Inuit peoples.
