The Tour de France is in full swing and, despite only being a few stages deep, it has already been one of the most exciting Tours in recent history.
Unfortunately, most of the action has resulted due to crashes. Many of the top riders have been taken out at some stage and they now have a lot of time to make up.
However, the mountain stages are approaching, and that’s typically where the Tour is won and lost.
The online betting landscape has changed considerably since it started, so we look at the riders to follow in the coming days. Riders who could win the Tour and also win stages.
The defending champion was a drifter in the market in the first couple of stages, but his odds in cycling betting markets have been slashed.
The Slovenian has managed to avoid trouble so far, and he is one of the best climbers in the field. He will come into his own in the mountains, so he’s travelling nicely and the pre-tour favorite looms as the hardest to beat.
His odds were slashed because Primoz Roglic was sent flying after a huge crash. Roglic was on even terms in the beting with Pogacar, but he will struggle to win after the incident.
“Luckily we saw that everything is still in one piece and nothing is broken but I have scars all around my body,” Roglic told Cycling News. “It was not the best day for us but we go on. We can still continue.”
— Cyclingnews.com (@Cyclingnewsfeed) June 27, 2021
We admire Roglic’s persistence, but his crash significantly helps Pogacar. The 22-year-old was also involved in a crash, but it wasn’t as serious. He was taken out on Stage 3 and lost 26 seconds, but it resulted in his odds firming, so it shouldn’t be a big deal.
Pogacar is the rider to follow, but he’s not the best-backed rider in the field.
Richard Carapaz is now the leading rider for Team Ineos, and his odds have been significantly cut.
The 28-year-old took over from Geraint Thomas as the team leader after finishing 12th on Stage Two. It was a tough effort as Thomas went back through the field, and it has affected betting markets significantly.
“It’s a bit of a shame that G (Thomas) lost a few seconds but we remain in the fight and there is a lot to come. We will see little by little, day by day,” Carapaz said.
He was 31 down on the race leader after Stage Two, but he’s a strong rider late in the Tour and he could make a strong run.
The Ecuadorian was 18 seconds behind Pogacar, but the Stage Three crash bridged the gap and put Carapaz seven seconds ahead and third overall. We wouldn’t overlook the chances of Carapaz, who would be an unlikely winner of the 2021 Tour de France, but he is now on the second line of betting.
We picked Julian Alaphilippe to win at big odds and he didn’t waste his time getting a stage win on the board.
His Stage One victory was a terrific outcome for Alaphilippe followers, and it put him in a position to win the overall classification.
He is currently second in the classification behind Mathieu van der Poel. Alaphilippe is only eight seconds back, and although he’s suited to the sprinting stages, we wouldn’t be ruling out the Frenchman.
— Tony Smith OWE 🍃💚🍃 (@tony_smith70) June 26, 2021
To win his home tour would be an incredible outcome for the experienced rider. He might have lost the overall lead in Stage Four, but he went down fighting. It won’t be the last time we hear from him.
“There are no regrets, I gave my maximum and my legs were a bit heavy after yesterday’s stage,” said Alaphilippe.
He is still being respected in betting markets, and although he might not win, he could score another stage win. Sprinting stages are right in his wheelhouse, and we’re looking at the time trial later in the Tour as his chance to win a second stage.
Follow Alaphilippe — not only is he a good bet, but he’s also one of the more entertaining riders.