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F1: Belgian Grand Prix Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Red Bull, McLaren Favored Before Summer Break
While Max Verstappen and Red Bull are breaking records, McLaren is resurging as a top team in 2023. The Austrian Grand Prix’s podium was shared by these teams as Lando Norris continues to impress. These two constructors have now been established as two of the three best teams per the F1 betting odds. Will it be more of the same as they head to the Spa before the break?
Trophies just aren’t safe when Lando’s on the podium! 😄
Hungary wasn’t the first time. Look what happened at Silverstone! 👀#HungarianGP @LandoNorris pic.twitter.com/oEcuW94hNi
— Formula 1 (@F1) July 24, 2023
More History for Red Bull
And there it is. Red Bull broke McLaren’s 35-year record of consecutive wins by winning its 12th straight race dating back to last year’s final race. Verstappen once again dominated last week, winning his seventh straight race, which puts him in a four-way tie for the second-most consecutive wins by a driver.
The two-time defending champion is now just two wins away from tying former Red Bull driver Sebastian Vettel. Verstappen has won at the Spa for the last two seasons. He’s been all but a sure thing when betting online this year, especially with the struggles of his running mate, Sergio Perez.
Perez did bounce back and finished third at Hungaroring. But he continued to have issues in qualifying and will be hard-pressed to keep fighting his way to a top-three finish. But as the Las Vegas F1 odds have it, both Verstappen and Perez could return to the podium at -120. Either way, Red Bull is favored to win in almost every betting market, including the Sprint.
McLaren Entrenched as Top Team
Nobody saw McLaren coming. Just a few weeks ago, anyone picking this team to finish in the top six – let alone the podium – would get long F1 odds. Now, Lando Norris is behind Verstappen as the favorite to win in Belgium at +1100. He’s also favored to finish on the podium (-140) and to be at least in the top six (-500).
It’s tough to bet online against Norris and McLaren. They proved in two different courses that they are “for real.” In Silverstone, a track designed for speed, Norris finished second and Oskar Piastri was one safety car away from joining him on the podium. At Hungaroring, a slower track with tricky turns, the results were nearly identical.
Now, the Spa has features similar to Silverstone. This track was made for some fast racing and this benefits McLaren’s current set-up. Thus, the question becomes if Norris and Piastri can finally do a double podium finish.
Aston Martin Fades, Mercedes Stays Steady
McLaren has stolen Aston Martin’s thunder. The British constructor had the F1 world stunned to start but has lost its momentum. The Hungarian Grand Prix was supposed to be good for Fernando Alonso and Aston Martin. And yet, they were non-factors as they clearly were the fifth-best team.
Aston Martin needs upgrades to keep up. And while McLaren speeds up, Mercedes keeps it consistent. The pair of Lewis Hamilton and George Russell have been solid at picking up top six points. They delivered at Silverstone, albeit outshined by the new hotshot Briton, Norris.
Thus, the F1 lines continue to peg Mercedes as a third-placed team at worst. There is plenty of value in betting on this team, such as a top-six finish (-165) or a podium for Hamilton (+150).
Belgian Grand Prix Race Information
- Race: Belgian Grand Prix
- Day/Time: Sunday, July 30, 9 a.m. ET
- Location: Spa-Francorchamps, Stavelot, Belgium
- F1 Belgian Grand Prix Live Stream: Formula1.com
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Belgian Grand Prix Betting Odds
| F1 Belgian Grand Prix | Moneyline |
| Max Verstappen | -600 |
| Sergio Perez | -150 |
| Lando Norris | -140 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +150 |
| George Russell | +275 |
| Oscar Piastri | +300 |
| Fernando Alonso | +450 |
| Charles Leclerc | +450 |
| Carlos Sainz | +600 |
| Lance Stroll | +6600 |
The odds in this chart are posted on the time of publication of the article. They are subject to change without previous notice.
Belgian Grand Prix Picks and Prediction
Piastri has been a bit unlucky in the last two races. He could have had two consecutive podium finishes but still managed a fourth and fifth place. Norris is now also the second-best driver. And with just a week in between races, it’s tough to see the other teams making enough upgrades to knock McLaren off second. Take a shot on both drivers to do a double podium.
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