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F1: Spanish Grand Prix Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Red Bull Dominates; But Who Else Will Impress?

At this point of the 2023 F1 season, Red Bull has the championship in the bag. The Spanish GP odds have the constructor at a whopping -10000 to win the title. Red Bull has not lost a race as Max Verstappen also continues to grow his lead from teammate Sergio Perez. Heading to Catalunya, Red Bull is once again expected to dominate. But what of the runner-ups?

No Stopping Verstappen or Red Bull in Catalunya

Chalk it up to another Red Bull victory this Sunday. The constructor is favored to win in almost every Spanish GP betting market from practice (-140) to qualifying (-450) to the race itself (-1200). And with how much better Verstappen performed than Perez in Monaco, it’s clear how superior of a driver he is.

F1: Spanish Grand Prix Preview, Odds, Live Stream, Picks & Predictions
Ferrari's Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc (L) and Ferrari's Spanish driver Carlos Sainz Jr | Javier soriano / afp

Even if Catalunya is a much different track than Monaco, Verstappen should win unchallenged. He’s favored to attain pole position (-190) and to win the race (-275) as he has done in three of the six races this season (Bahrain, Australia, and Monaco).

The Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya was altered to remove the chicane in the final sector. This creates a smoother race and fans can expect an even faster pace. That greatly benefits cars from both Red Bull and Aston Martin who have had better tyre aging. So fans not wanting to bet online on Verstappen or Red Bull could look to…

Alonso and Aston Martin To Finish Strong

And in second place, as they consistently have done, is Aston Martin led by Fernando Alonso. The British constructor has found success replicating Red Bull’s design. Alonso has also finished on the podium in five of the six races so far. The sportsbook lists Alonso at -220 to return to the podium in his native Spain.

Alonso has raced well in Catalunya when he’s with a formidable team. But he has not finished on the podium since 2013, which is also his second and final win here. At 41, he is arguably the second-best racer in F1 after Verstappen. It would be even more interesting if Alonso and Verstappen used the same vehicle.

Alas, that is not the case. Red Bull is a tier above Aston Martin so it would take an accident or a major malfunction for Alonso to capitalize and win. Still, fans can fantasize on Alonso to win. It pays 9-1 when betting online.

Mercedes vs Ferrari: Distant Runner-Ups Again

As for Mercedes and Ferrari, the once-formidable teams have been relegated to also-rans as early as the first few races. Between their four drivers, Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc have one podium finish. George Russell, who scored Mercedes’s only win last season, has a pair of fourth-placed finishes. Carlos Sainz Jr. has not finished higher than fifth in his last five races.

Of course, Mercedes brought in some new upgrades ahead of Monaco but that proved to be one of the worst tracks to test it on. The more open Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya could prove to be ripe for gathering data on the German constructor’s new addition.

And for Ferrari, the jaded fans are just waiting for the team to let Leclerc down as it usually has. The Monegasque driver is snakebitten this season and sits at seventh in the driver standings.

Spanish Grand Prix Race Information

  • Race: Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio de España 2023
  • Day/Time: Sunday, June 4, 9 a.m. ET
  • Location: Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, Montmeló, Spain
  • Spanish GP Live stream: Formula1.com

Spanish Grand Prix Betting Odds

Red Bull -1200
Aston Martin +800
Ferrari +1200
Mercedes +2000
Alpine +10000
McLaren +12500
Williams +30000
Alfa Romeo +20000
AlphaTauri +20000
Haas +20000

The odds in this chart are posted on the time of publication of the article. They are subject to change without previous notice.

Spanish Grand Prix Picks and Prediction

Bettors can go chalk-heavy and bet Verstappen and/or Red Bull on the Spanish GP lines. But one good prop to hone in on is to pick the three drivers to finish in the top three, which would be Verstappen, Perez, and Alonso. At its current price, it may be the best bet.

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