No Mexican-born driver has won the Mexican Grand Prix. While Formula 1 odds for this weekend obviously favor Max Verstappen, Sergio Perez will be the driver in focus during this race.
With the 2022 Formula 1 World Championship sitting in the trophy case at the factory in Milton Keynes, is it time for the “Mexican Minister of Defence” to be the lead driver for Red Bull, even if only for one weekend?
Red Bull: The Double World Champions Aim to Set Records or Provide a Home Country First
There will be battles for pole position, overtakes, and a likely safety flag or virtual safety car during the Mexican Grand Prix weekend, but all focus will be on Red Bull and Checo to improve on last year’s third-place finish, the best for a Mexican driver at his home race.
Notably, the Red Bull RBPT’s power unit (also known as Honda’s power unit) always works very well at altitude, especially the turbocharger. Expect the RB-18s to have a little extra zip to them this weekend.
Will Red Bull give Checo the home-country win, or will Max Verstappen break the record for most wins in a season? Verstappen is currently tied at 13 with Michael Schumacher and Sebastian Vettel.
With three chances left to break the record and both World Championships back at the factory, will Max Verstappen actually play the role of “rear-gunner” and become the “Dutch Minister of Defense” to help Checo get the win in Mexico City?
The Midfield Battle: Alpine vs McLaren
Red Bull has the best race car, while Ferrari and Mercedes are close enough on pace to build for next year. Ferrari and Mercedes will battle for second in the constructors’ championship until the end of the season. However, the most fierce and exciting fight is in the midfield.
Alpine’s A-522 has improved with every upgrade, with two drivers who land fast qualifying times and could regularly put Alpine in the points. That is if the A-522’s power unit reliability is not a concern.
We’ve seen Fernando Alonso drive an almost airborne A-522 back to the pitlane, so the chassis is durable. If the power unit were durable, Alpine would not be in a fight for fourth in the Constructors’ Championship with McLaren.
Yet, McLaren has one driver who consistently scores points and is essentially fighting two drivers for the fourth in the Constructors’ championship. Lando Norris is fighting the Alpines single-handedly with more reliable machinery.
Daniel Ricciardo is nowhere to be found most weekends. Norris’ chances are clearly favored by those betting online, as Norris usually has favorable odds over Ricciardo and is normally fairly even on the odds with Alonso and Ocon.
While both Alpine’s and Norris’ McLaren will be in the points, one of these three drivers will have a chance at cracking the top 6 finishers and while the Alpine A-522 has had the pace and two opportunities to outscore and outperform McLaren, do they have the reliability to finish ahead of Norris in the MCL-36?
Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Circuit Preview
One lap around the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez is 2.674 miles (4.304 km), featuring seventeen turns and an 890-meter dash to turn one. The Mexican Grand Prix will take place over 71 laps for a total of 305.354 km.
According to fastestlaps.com, three-time Mexican Grand Prix winner Max Verstappen holds the all-time lap record at 1:14.76, set in 2019, matching Daniel Ricciardo’s time from 2018.
The current in-race fasted lap belongs to Valtteri Bottas, who set a 1:17.774 record during the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix in the Mercedes W-12.
Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Race Information
- Race: Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix
- Location: Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez
- Day/Time: Sunday, October 30th, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Live Stream: Formula1.com
Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Betting Odds
|Odds To Win F1 Mexican Grand Prix||Moneyline|
Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Prediction
So, clearly, we’re picking Red Bull to win the Mexican Grand Prix. However, rather than select one driver to win the Grand Prix, we’ll focus on several predictions and betting lines available. For reference, if we pick one driver, we’ll take Red Bull’s Sergio Perez to win the Mexican Grand Prix, currently listed at +450; Verstappen is listed at -175.
We have two specific Red Bull Predictions for you: Red Bull is listed at -275 to get both cars into the top 6, while both RB-18s’ landing on the podium is listed at +110.
There will be a team effort to ensure another double-podium in Mexico City, so these joint Red Bull efforts are worth considering and are likely outcomes in a season and at a circuit where Red Bull dominates.
We favor top-six finishes and winning wagers for our online sports betting and predict Mercedes’ George Russell to finish in the top 6.
So far, in 2022, Russell has finished in the top 6 in 16 of 19 races. Russell has the most favorable odds of the front runners to finish in the top 6, listed at -400.