Having clinched the 2022 F1 Drivers Championship, Max Verstappen is just playing with house money at this point. Red Bull has all but dominated this season, with Verstappen winning eight of the last nine races while Sergio “Checo” Perez has the one. As such, the F1 racing betting odds heavily favor the two-time defending world champion to finish first yet again.
2022 Brazilian Grand Prix Outright Odds
What’s Left for Verstappen to Chase?
World championship? Check. Formula One single-season record for wins? Check. At this point, Verstappen has already accomplished any tangible goals he and Red Bull have set out to win. It’s just “business as usual” heading to Interlagos amidst civil unrest following the 2022 Brazilian election.
If the race proceeds as scheduled, Verstappen and Red Bull are set to win Sao Paulo from Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes, last year’s winners. Hamilton defeated Verstappen by just over a second as the two battled it out. Now, Hamilton has yet to win a race, while Verstappen has been nigh-unbeatable.
At -225, bettors need a bit of juice to bet online on Verstappen. But other than a major accident, Verstappen should be the rightful favorite to beat everyone. Charles Leclerc and Ferrari have not been threats since Austria, while Mercedes has been a distant second at best.
Verstappen’s biggest threat is his teammate, Perez. The Mexican did not win in his home Grand Prix but finished on the podium with Max. This could be the best bet, as both drivers have achieved this feat in seven of the 20 races this year.
Hamilton at Odds to Win First Race of Season
Meanwhile, Hamilton and Mercedes fans will take any race they can win this season. Hamilton is at long odds to win anything in the Brazilian Grand Prix, including the race itself, at +550. However, the Briton has some momentum with two second-place finishes in Austin and Mexico. The online sports betting lines favor Hamilton to, at least, finish in the top three at -175. Through 20 races, he has finished on the podium eight times. Only Leclerc has done better among non-Red Bull drivers.
Thanks to being a more consistent driver, Hamilton’s teammate, George Russell, is ahead of him in the standings. Russell has finished in the top six in all but two races. He’s a solid bet to continue doing this though he has not seen the podium in his last four races.
Leclerc and Ferrari Struggling in Sao Paulo
Leclerc and Ferrari can still salvage some dignity as they look to close out the season strong. Despite not having won a race since Austria 10 races ago, Ferrari is still second in the Constructors’ Championship standings. Ferrari has sent at least one driver to the podium in six of its last seven races though both Leclerc and Carlos Sainz failed to do so in Mexico.
In Sao Paulo, however, Ferrari has had issues. Leclerc has never finished on the podium in his three attempts at Interlagos – two with Ferrari. He and Sainz finished just outside the podium in 2021, and in 2019, he collided with teammate Sebastian Vettel as they finished 17th and 18th, respectively.
A bet on Leclerc and Sainz to both finish on the podium pays 6-1 on the sportsbook. That seems short, considering Ferrari’s “bad luck” on the track. Instead, it’s better to bet on both Ferrari drivers to finish in the top six at -250.