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MotoGP Grand Prix of Japan Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Japan’s Grand Prix Will Help Determine 2022 Champion

Title Race Getting Close

Last week’s MotoGP race was incredible and intense and has resulted in a close 17-point separation between the top three drivers. Fabio Quartararo leads with Francesco Bagnaia only 10 points back.

Aleix Espargaro, the only driver without a DNF this season, is 17 points back after his third-place finish last weekend. Will  Quartararo be able to hold onto the lead?

Ducati Lenovo's Italian rider Francesco Bagnaia rides during a MotoGP practice session
Toshifumi Kitamura / AFP

Let’s check the latest MotorSports odds, stats, injury reports, and MotorSports lines for MotoGP. We’ve plenty of Vegas MotorSports odds for you to consider.

Fight for MotoGP World Championship

Right now, the Japan Grand Prix odds are pretty close due to the recent resurgence of Bagnaia.

For most of the season, it appeared the championship would belong to Quartararo, but Bagnaia has won six of the last 10 races, doubling Quartararo’s win total in that span. As a result, Bagnaia is now within 10 points of the leader and is in much better form now.

Seven points behind Bagnaia sits Espargaro with 194. Espargaro is the only driver in MotoGP this season to finish every race. This is the main thing keeping him in title contention as he only has one victory, but consistency is key in this sport.

The Fall of Fabio

Quartararo had a fantastic start to the 2022 season and had a stretch of six races where he had three wins and never finished worse than fourth. Since then, the Frenchman has had an eighth, a fifth, a DNF and a second place.

His sloppy racing has resulted in his championship rivals cutting into his lead. His MotoGP odds have gone from -350 to +165 to win the World Championship in the past few weeks.

Espargaro is too consistent and Bagnaia has been racing too well. Quartararo needs a return to form if he is going to hold on to the championship title lead after the Japan GP. The Las Vegas MotoGP odds have changed significantly after last week. Quartararo is now +165 to win the title while Bagnaia is -150.

MotoGP Head-to-Head 2022 Race Stats

Bagnaia has the most MotoGP race wins with six, which is extremely impressive in a single MotoGP season. Quartararo only won three races while taking home the title last year.

Espargaro has zero DNFs this year, the best of any driver. Consistency is essential, and it’s the only reason Espargaro has any shot at the title. Bagnaia has five DNFs while Quartararo has only two.

Last week was one of the DNFs for Quartararo, which really hurt his hopes of holding onto his lead. Online gambling betting odds now favor Bagnaia for the first time all year.

Bagnaia lost to his teammate last week, potentially losing vital points in the championship. As a result, Ducati suggested they might offer up team orders for Bagnaia to get him the most points possible. However, Bagnaia rejected the idea, stating he doesn’t need help to win.

MotoGP Japan Grand Prix Race Information

  • Game: MotoGP Grand Prix of Japan
  • Location: Twin Ring Motegi, Tochigi Prefecture, Japan
  • Day/Time: Sunday, Sept. 25
  • MotoGP Japan Grand Prix Live Stream: motogp.com


otoGP Japan Grand Prix Betting Odds


Francesco Bagnaia +150
Jack Miller +500
Fabio Quartararo +550

MotoGP Japan Grand Prix Race Prediction

The pick for this week’s MotoGP race is Bagnaia. I have supported and picked Quartararo all year, but his Italian rival has been the superior driver over the past nine races. He’s streaking toward taking the world title, and he could surpass Quartararo in the standings with a win this weekend. So if you bet online, be sure to take Bagnaia now before the line gets even steeper.

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