NASCAR Ally 400 To Run at Full-Capacity
Tennessee Hosts for the First Time in 37 Years
For the first time in 37 years, the NASCAR Cup Series makes a stop in Middle Tennessee, as the Nashville Superspeedway plays host to the Ally 400 and the start of the second half of the Cup Series season.
Tennessee officials have given the track the go-ahead to open at 100 percent capacity, and the expectation is that this will be the first full-capacity sellout at a NASCAR track since the pandemic struck in 2020. Listed below are the corresponding sportsbook odds for drivers to win the Ally 400.
Odds to Win Ally 400
- Kyle Larson (+250)
- Chase Elliott (+650)
- Martin Truex, Jr. (+800)
- Denny Hamlin (+800)
- Kyle Busch (+800)
- William Byron (+1000)
- Kevin Harvick (+1200)
- Brad Keselowski (+1200)
- Joey Logano (+1200)
- Ryan Blaney (+1200)
- Alex Bowman (+1400)
Zero people are surprised to see Kyle Larson at the top of the favorites board. The only real surprise is that he isn’t yet down to even money. He has three straight wins, including last week’s $1 million triumph at the All-Star Race. And in the three races before his current win streak, he had three straight second-place finishes.
A bet on Larson doesn’t pay a lot, but if he keeps on racing as he has, any amount of risk is worth it.
Down the list is Martin Truex, Jr. at +800. He only finished 13th at the All-Star Race but was a third-place finisher the week before at Sonoma. He also has three wins this season, including a win at Phoenix, which is similar in size and shape to the track in Nashville.
More importantly to Truex and bettors on Truex is the rules package decided by NASCAR for the weekend. The race will be using the 750-horsepower setup, which was used at all three races Truex won this season — Phoenix, Martinsville, and Darlington.
Next is Denny Hamlin, who has yet to win this season, but he does lead all drivers with nine top-five finishes. Chase Elliott sits second on the odds board, coming off a third-place finish at the All-Star Race. Elliott has now finished in the top five in six of his last seven races.
Nashville Track Specs
None of these drivers have ever raced in Nashville in a Cup Series event. But since the track hosted its first NASCAR event in 2001, it hosted the Xfinity Series twice a year through 2011. During that time, Kevin Harvick won on the track twice (2006 and 2010), Brad Keselowski is also a two-time winner (2008 and 2010), and Kyle Busch and Joey Logano each won a race here in 2009.
It is the largest concrete-only surface in NASCAR, with a lap distance of 1.33 miles on the D-shaped oval. Each of the turns comes with 14 degrees of bank, with nine degrees on the front straightaway and six degrees on the back.
Drivers to Consider
Ryan Blaney comes in near the bottom of the list of favorites at +1200. He did, however, just finish in fifth place at the All-Star Race. It’s his second straight top-10 finish to go along with a win earlier this year in Atlanta.
Tyler Reddick has been outside the top-15 in his last three races, dropping his odds to +4000. But prior to this slide, he was in the top 10 in five of six races and seven of nine. If he can get back to that kind of consistency, then +4000 is a great value bet.
It’s been a year to forget for Kurt Busch, which is why he’s paying +5000 in Nashville. But there have been glimpses over the last two weeks, with a sixth-place finish in Sonoma and a 10th-place finish last week at the All-Star Race.
Consider betting online on Ryan Blaney as a value pick. He has been consistently finishing in the top 10 and would be huge value on a win for pretty minimal risk.
Pick: Ryan Blaney +1200
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