Onto Nashville’s Concrete
The 2022 NASCAR Cup Series continues with Sunday’s Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway. It will mark the 17th race of the season, and only the second Cup Series race on a Nashville track after its inaugural race in 2021.
Despite lacking any stats or trends on the race, the 2022 Ally 400 promises to be an exciting event for viewers and online sports betting enthusiasts. So, let’s get right into our preview, taking a closer look at which drivers have the best chance of winning.
Larson is Leading the Way
Defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson leads the pack ahead of the 2022 Ally 400., the shortest price (+550) to win the race, according the NASCAR lines.
That isn’t too surprising, despite Larson’s rather underwhelming (15th place) effort in Toyota/Save Mart 350.
Larson isn’t nearly as dominant as last season, currently sitting in seventh place on the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series standings. There is a victory to his name among his six top-5s performances.
Those aren’t included in the more impressive figures in the field, but Larson won here in 2021. Does that convince us to take Larson as the favorite? Nope.
He is undeniably a very skilled driver, though, but one that’s had just a single top-10 across the last three. So, the only reason why you’d favor him is his success here in 2021.
An Underdog to Shine?
It was a surprise winner in Daniel Suarez taking the 2022 Toyota/Save Mart 350 in his first of the season. He was incredible, and it would be fair to question whether he could go back-to-back in Nashville.
Suarez seems to be enjoying his time with Trackhouse, and he sounded confident in his post-race interview.
“It takes a lot to win in the Cup Series. I felt that in the past, maybe I wasn’t experienced enough, not just on the race track, but also outside the race track, to get the right people in place. I mean, just things were not clicking. And it happens, right? I will say, with Trackhouse, it just felt very good since the beginning.””
Suarez is listed at 28-1, or +2800, to repeat his feat.
The Suarez win did not convince us he can do it again here, but it does make taking shots on outsiders far more appealing. When we talk outsiders, it’s difficult to look past Ricky Stenhouse Jr., priced at +5000 on the outright betting markets.
That’s not out of the norm. Stenhouse hasn’t won a race this season, and finished outside of the top-20 in 11 races (three finishes of 28th or worse, too). Taking a more positive tone here, five finishes of eighth or better.
His only podium this season came at Dover, placing second, which again isn’t spectacular. Stenhouse also finished second at this track in 2021, and those results suggest Stenhouse tends to work well on concrete.
2022 Ally 400 Information
- Race: 2022 Ally 400
- Location: Nashville Superspeedway, Lebanon, TN
- Day/Time: Sunday, June 26, 5:00 p.m. ET
- Ally 400 Live Stream: NBCSports.com
2022 Ally 400 Betting Lines
|ODDS TO WIN 2022 NASCAR CUP SERIES CHAMPIONSHIP||MONEYLINE|
|Martin Truex Jr||+1200|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr||+22500|
2022 Ally 400 Prediction
Kyle Larson (+5500), Kyle Busch (+7500) and Ross Chastain (+8000) are the main betting favorites for this race, which is logical. They’re either in terrific form ahead of this race, have previous greatness on the track or are simply known for performing well on tracks similar to the Nashville Superspeedway.
Even though all three have a realistic chance of winning, we are looking at Ricky Stenhouse Jr, who seems a bit overpriced at +5000. As noted, he performed well here in 2021, and was very impressive at Dover, That is suggesting the concrete track suits his style.
We wouldn’t take Stenhouse on the outrights, since there’s a good chance he won’t win. There’s no reason he shouldn’t be in the mix for a strong finish, however.
If he can repeat the speed he’s shown on similar tracks, a top-5 finish here, priced at +600, is a wager with some value. We’re also feeling confident and are taking Stenhouse Jr. to finish in the top 3, at odds of +1200.