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Larson Best Bet in NASCAR Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

After two weeks of short tracks, the NASCAR Cup Series rolls into intermediate Texas Motor Speedway. A week after Hendrick Motorsports dominated on its 40th anniversary, Kyle Larson is the NASCAR odds favorite to win at +400, with teammate William Byron and rival Denny Hamlin trailing close behind. Will one of these three be the one to take the checkered flag? Let’s break it all down with our NASCAR best bets of the week.

 

Larson Best Bet in NASCAR Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400
Larson Best Bet in NASCAR Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

Back Larson (+400) to Win at Texas Motor Speedway

We are going to cut right to the chase. We are on board with the oddsmakers and believe Kyle Larson will score his second win of the season at +400 NASCAR betting odds. Despite being in the headlines for a fast time in

Larson has been on the verge of victory the last two weeks in NASCAR, finishing second and third at Richmond and Martinsville, respectively.

We think this trend up will continue and the 2021 NASCAR CUP champ will seal the deal and take the checkered flag. In the only other intermediate race of the season at Las Vegas, Larson swept the stages and scored the maximum 60 points, leading 181 laps along the way. And while Texas isn’t one of his best tracks, he did score a win back in 2021.

When Larson has been good this year, he has been good, with all four of his top-10s being top-fives. While his -140 odds for a fifth are not particularly appealing, it still feels like a safe bet for NASCAR picks.

Hendrick teammate William Byron is on the heels of his series-leading third win of the season last week. He won at Texas last year and has three-straight top-10s here, overall, including a second-place finish in 2021. His top-five NASCAR betting odds sit at even money, a bit more appealing than Larson’s.

 

NASCAR Pick: Kyle Larson +400 to win Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

Bell Poses Great Value to be Top Toyota

While we are all in on the Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolets, we think the Toyota stable will still be competitive. We’ll do something we don’t often do and look at who will carry the flag for the manufacturer. Denny Hamlin rightfully leads the way at +280 NASCAR odds, alongside Tyler Reddick, to be the top Toyota driver in Sunday’s race.

While we prefer Reddick over Hamlin here, as the 23XI driver has a win and a second under his belt at Texa, we think there is fantastic value in Christopher Bell at +500. In five career races at Texas, the driver of the 20 car has three top-fives, including a fourth last season (though he wasn’t the highest finishing Toyota).

Bell has shown speed consistently this season but, like in past years, has had trouble finishing the job. We think at +500, that’s a gamble worth taking.

 

 

NASCAR Pick: Christopher Bell +500 to be Top Toyota Driver

Bet On Trending Penske Cars for Top-10 Finishes

After a difficult start to the season, Joey Logano has put together two solid races in a row, nearly winning at Richmond before tallying a sixth-place finish at Martinsville. While Texas is not a short-track, the two-time series champion has solid numbers in the Lone Star State, scoring 10 top-10s in his last 13 races. Despite this, the oddsmakers are not particularly bullish as he sits outside the top-10 NASCAR betting favorites. While his top-10 odds won’t bear a huge payout at -140, we do not feel comfortable betting on him to finish any higher.

Logano’s Team Penske teammate, Ryan Blaney, is also on the heels of a strong run, finishing fifth at Martinsville while appearing to be the only car capable of passing. Despite crashing out last year, one of his few hiccups en route to a championship, Blaney is also remarkably consistent at Texas, scoring eight top-10s in the previous nine races, including a runner-up finish in 2022.

Like Logano, we won’t go as far to bank on a top-five, but we think Blaney’s -220 odds for a top-10 is a safe bet.

 

 

NASCAR Top-10 Picks: Ryan Blaney -220; Joey Logano -140

Suarez, Jones Live Underdog Betting Options

Last week, we had our finger on the pulse, picking Stewart-Haas Racing drivers Chase Briscoe and Ryan Preece to score a top-10. This week, we are looking at two drivers with somewhat similar career trajectories in Daniel Suarez and Erik Jones. Both drivers have had a great deal of success at Texas, particularly when they were with Joe Gibbs Racing, but have had strong showings even since leaving.

Jones, in particular, scored a top-10 as recently as 2022, following six straight from 2017-2020. While the Legacy Motor Club 43 team has experienced growing pains in its first year with Toyota, producing just one top-10, Jones scored a solid 14th at Las Vegas and is coming off two-straight top-15s. We believe he will continue that solid streak, with his previous Texas success pointing his way to a top-10 at +225.

Meanwhile, Suarez has two third-place finishes to his name at Texas in his JGR days. But even since joining Trackhouse, he has scored two top-10s in three races, with the other being a 12th. Outside of his thrilling win at Atlanta, Suarez has struggled, with the win being his only top-10 on the season. What better place for him to get right than one of his most successful tracks. Look for Suarez with NASCAR betting lines of +175.

 

 

Questions of the Day

Who will be the winning team this week?


Hendrick Motorsports at +140

What is an overlooked storyline of the race?


Seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson is entered in a third Legacy Motor Club car, and should be avoided entirely for betting purposes.

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