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Home » Motorsports » NASCAR » NASCAR Cup Series Championship Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Final Four Get Set to Duke It Out in Phoenix

Ryan Knuppel by Ryan Knuppel
Nov 4, 2022, 5:00am ET
in NASCAR
NASCAR Cup Series Championship Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

sean gardner / getty images north america / getty images via afp

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Unpredictable NASCAR Season Comes to a Close

In the past, it’s usually been a safe bet that the winner of the season’s final race in Phoenix is somebody in the Championship Four. That’s been the case for Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott the last two seasons and Kyle Busch back in 2019.

The 2022 NASCAR season has been a whole new animal, though. Chris Buescher’s win at Bristol in mid-September made him the record-tying 19th different race winner this season, the most since 2001.

That doesn’t mean any of the final four racers, Joey Logano, Christopher Bell, Ross Chastain, and Chase Elliott, can’t pick up the victory on Sunday; it just means virtually every driver has value on the NASCAR odds for this weekend as a wacky season comes to a close.

Let’s check the latest NASCAR odds, stats, injury reports and NASCAR lines for NASCAR Cup Series Championship. We’ve plenty of NASCAR betting odds for you to consider.

Elliott, Logano Go for Repeats

Winning one Cup Series championship puts you in respected company, but you start to get legend status when you claim multiple crowns. Only nine drivers have won more than two Cup Series championships since 1949, and both Logano and Elliott can climb closer to that company with their second trophy.

Logano won the 2018 Cup Series Championship, while Elliott took home the victory in 2020. Elliott is the big +200 favorite to capture the checkered flag on Sunday, and he had a good showing at Phoenix in the spring, leading 50 laps. Elliott has five wins this season, not just the most of the Championship Four drivers but the most of anybody in the Cup Series.

Logano (+400) looks to close out a nice bounce-back season after winning just one race and finishing in eighth place in the final standings in 2021. Logano has picked up three checkered flags this year and had a top-10 finish at Phoenix in the Spring.

Maiden Title for Chastain or Bell?

The Final Four field is almost perfect (although Kyle Larson or Denny Hamlin might not agree) as it features a couple of past Cup Series winners and two drivers looking for their first title. Bell and Chastain will draw a lot of interest when betting online because they are fan favorites who deserve a Championship win.

Both Bell (+300) and Chastain (+450) have been entertaining drivers during these playoffs. Bell fought off elimination by winning the Charlotte road course in the round of 12 and earning an automatic berth in the round of eight. He was once again on pace to being eliminated last Sunday before dominating for the win at Martinsville, which sent him to Phoenix.

Chastain may have pulled off the most thrilling move of the season – if not the past five years – when he rode the wall at the end of Martinsville to pass multiple cars and finish fourth right ahead of Hamlin, who he beat in points. Some drivers criticized Chastain’s move as dangerous, but Hamlin called it “brilliant.”

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Information

  • Location: Phoenix Raceway
  • Day/Time: Sunday, Nov. 6, 3 p.m. ET
  • NASCAR Cup Series Championship Live Stream: NBCSports.com
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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Betting Odds

Odds To Win 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Moneyline
Chase Elliott +200
Christopher Bell +300
Joey Logano +400
Ross Chastain +450
Kyle Larson +1600
Denny Hamlin +1600

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Prediction

You can often trim the Las Vegas odds for the final NASCAR race winner to one of the four drivers in the hunt for the championship. While that’s certainly a bonafide strategy on Sunday, it’s also been a unique season.

While picking Kyle Larson at +1600 is not a stretch, it is a bit off the radar since he’s not a final-four driver. Larson led 68 laps en route to a second-place finish at Martinsville, and the weekend prior, he was in front for 199 laps before getting the victory at Miami.

Basically, Larson has been driving like a man possessed since his altercation with Bubba Wallace at the South Point 400 in Las Vegas, and that trend should continue at the place where he won his championship last season.

BET THIS PICK: Kyle Larson to Win (+1600)
Tags: Chase ElliottKyle LarsonNASCARNASCAR Cup Series Championship
Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel has been writing about sports & sports betting topics online for over 15 years. He was a college basketball All-American in the early 2000's and has always had a deep understanding for sports. Ryan was the 2011 Buffalo Wild Wings National "Pickem" Winner which earned him a trip to play flag football with Jerry Rice and Deion Sanders. He was also a 2015 FanDuel.com Playboy Mansion NBA Championships Qualifier in daily fantasy sports. But his true claim to fame is the fact that he has played basketball with and against THE Michael Jordan numerous times in his life. Ryan is excited to be writing and covering sports here and would love to hear from you on social media.

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