The two biggest takeaways from last weekend’s South Point 400 in Las Vegas were that Joey Logano punched his ticket to the Championship Four while Bubba Wallace almost punched Kyle Larson after some contact.
Logano captured the checkered flag, but the real loser in the Wallace-Larson fracas was Christopher Bell, who was knocked out of the race in the shrapnel and dropped all the way down to eighth in the standings.
We would expect nothing less in one of the wildest seasons in recent memory, and one can only wonder what the NASCAR odds for this weekend will bring.
Who Joins Logano?
Logano is in the Championship Four with his win in Las Vegas, so he doesn’t have a ton of incentive to go too hardcore in Dixie Vodka 400 betting. As a result, Logano slipped to fifth in the odds with Tyler Reddick being the +750 favorite.
Reddick has been eliminated from the playoffs since the round of 12, but since his exit, he’s posted a win at Texas and top-eight finishes at Charlotte and Las Vegas.
Reddick also finished second at the Dixie Vodka 400 last season despite not leading a lap. William Byron won at Homestead last year and comes into the weekend at +1200 for the repeat when betting online.
Byron needs a big weekend as he currently sits in fifth place in the playoff standings, the first driver out of the Championship Four.
Other recent Dixie Vodka 400 champions in Sunday’s field include Denny Hamlin (+800), who won in 2020, 2019 champion Kyle Busch (+1200) and Martin Truex Jr. (+1200), who won in 2017. Logano was the 2018 winner.
Longshots at Homestead
With first-place Logano already in the championship race, next up to join him is second-place Ross Chastain (+900), who finished second last week in Las Vegas.
The wildness of the first couple rounds of the playoffs, where Erik Jones and Chris Buescher were picking up wins, has worn off, with favorites Logano, Bell and Chase Elliott having taken home the checkered flag.
Even though NASCAR seems like it’s leveling off and the elite drivers are rising to the top, this is the type of unpredictable season where you can’t count on anything.
Some longshot drivers who could contend in sport betting on the Dixie Vodka 400 include Michael McDowell (+10000), who was fifth here last season, and A.J. Allmendinger (+6600), who has finished in the top 10 in five straight Cup Series races.
NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 Information
- Location: Homestead-Miami Speedway, Homestead, Fla
- Day/Time: Sunday, Oct. 23, 2:30 p.m. ET
- Dixie Vodka 400 Live stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Cup Dixie Vodka 400 Betting Odds
|ODDS TO WIN DIXIE VODKA 400||Moneyline|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+1200|
The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.
NASCAR Cup Dixie Vodka 400 Prediction
A lot of people are off Logano here because he has nothing to gain by getting the win. In fact, letting somebody further down in the top eight pick up the win and the automatic berth would actually help Logano’s championship chances in the long run.
One of those drivers that are further down in the top eight and need a win to get into the final four is Bell.
He’s got solid ROI at +1000, and if anybody is more deserving of some good karma, it’s Bell. He who was knocked out last week as collateral damage in the Wallace-Larson spinout. Bell is currently in eighth in the standings, so he’s got nothing to lose by going for it here.