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NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400

Title Up for Grabs with Four Races Remaining

Down Goes Larson

The South Point 400 is the official kickoff for the final four races of the NASCAR Cup. The stakes just got a bit higher with defending Cup Series champion Kyle Larson eliminated from the playoffs after finishing 35th at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Roval. Larson couldn’t get going this postseason, coming in no better than his fifth-place spot at Darlington.

Despite his struggles (by his standards), Larson was still one of the top-end favorites for every race and it will be interesting to see how his elimination alters the NASCAR odds for this weekend.

NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images/AFP

Let’s check the latest NASCAR odds, stats, injury reports, and NASCAR lines for South Point 400. We’ve plenty of NASCAR betting odds for you to consider.

Hamlin to Repeat?

Las Vegas kicks off the first leg of the Round of Eight, followed by Miami and Martinsville. That means there are three opportunities to either get a win and an automatic berth into the championship round or just stack up laps led and stage wins to advance on points.

Even with Larson not having a chance to repeat as Cup Series Champion, it will not be a shocker if any driver in the top eight takes home this year’s crown.

Of course, anybody can pick up the win and the automatic berth in the championship, but the real drivers to watch are those currently outside the top-four cut line. That includes Denny Hamlin, who is currently seventh in the playoff standings and is also the +600 favorite as the returning champion at Las Vegas.

Hamlin isn’t a bad choice for the win when betting online before Sunday’s race. He had runner-ups at Darlington and Kansas to start the postseason and also picked up a fifth-place finish two weekends ago at Talladega.

Hamlin led 137 laps last year in his Las Vegas Motor Speedway win and picked up a third place at the South Point 400 in 2020.

Other Top Eight Drivers to Watch

One good thing about the past few races is that some normalcy is returning to NASCAR. Not only were non-playoff drivers taking home the first few checkered flags of the postseason, they were longshots such as Erik Jones at Darlington and Chris Buescher at Bristol.

With points leader Chase Elliott winning at Talladega and current fourth-place sitter Christopher Bell taking the checkered flag last weekend at Charlotte, bettors can start to focus their tickets on the favorites.

Behind Hamlin at +600, Elliott is next at the sportsbook with +700 odds for Sunday’s race. Elliott was runner-up to Hamlin a year ago in Vegas and finished in the top 10 at the spring race. Bell (+800) is coming off the win at a road course last weekend in Charlotte, but his best finish in five tries at Las Vegas is seventh in the 2021 spring race.

Ryan Blaney (+1000) is right outside the cut line at fifth place and he had some success in Vegas with a fifth-place finish last season.

NASCAR Cup South Point 400 Information

  • Location: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
  • Day/Time: Sunday, Oct. 16th, 2:30 p.m. ET
  • NASCAR South Point 400 Live stream:

NASCAR Cup South Point 400 Betting Odds

Denny Hamlin +600
Chase Elliott +700
Christopher Bell +800
Ross Chastain +800
Tyler Reddick +900
Ryan Blaney +1000
Kyle Larson +1000
Kyle Busch +1200
William Byron +1200
Martin Truex Jr. +1200
Joey Logano +1600
Alex Bowman +1600

The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.

NASCAR Cup South Point 400 Prediction

Even though he’s got some disappointment from being eliminated from the playoffs and not having the chance to repeat his 2021 Cup Series championship, Larson is a solid play this weekend.

We saw Tyler Reddick get the win at Texas a week after being knocked out of the postseason, and Larson should be able to do the same. He led 95 laps here last year and can drive free and easy now.