Never a Dull Moment
So far this NASCAR postseason, we’ve seen Erik Jones take the win in Darlington, Bubba Wallace victorious at Kansas and Chris Buescher prevails at Bristol. All non-playoff drivers earned their first wins of the season.
Tyler Reddick came out on top last weekend at Texas, which is different because he has already won this season, but that doesn’t mean the race was typical by any means.
The hot sun beating down on the track at Texas Motor Speedway helped contribute to 16 caution flags, a red flag, and seven drivers getting knocked out of the race. All total, there were nearly six hours of racing last weekend, so who knows what this weekend’s trip to Talladega Superspeedway will bring.
Making Sense of Reddick Win
The NASCAR odds for this weekend in Talladega for the YellaWood 500 have six drivers right around the same betting numbers to pick up the win.
That’s just an example of how anybody can not only win each week in NASCAR but how unpredictable this actual event has been with six different drivers taking the checkered flag the last six years.
Reddick picked up the win last weekend at +1200 odds, so he was on a few more cards than Buescher was at +12500 in Bristol. Reddick’s win is still kind of inexplicable, though, as he was just eliminated from the playoffs the week before (although maybe that calmed him a bit) and had found out just a few days prior that he would be losing his No. 8 car next season when Kyle Busch joins Richard Childress Racing.
Since Reddick had already won this season, NASCAR did not break the record in having a 20th different driver get a victory this season. That doesn’t mean that can’t happen at Talladega, though.
Talladega Anybody’s Race
Betting online for the Yellawood 500 has six drivers all around the +1200 to +1400 favorite list. Those are Chase Elliott (+1200), Denny Hamlin (+1200), Joey Logano (+1200), Ryan Blaney (+1200), Kyle Larson (+1400), and William Byron (+1400).
All six of those drivers are currently in the postseason, so if any of them won, it would break the trend of non-playoff drivers winning the first four playoff races.
Logano won this event in back-to-back years in 2015-16 and has also climbed to the top of the Cup Series playoff standings. Regular season champ Elliott is just four points ahead of the cut line heading into next week’s elimination at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course.
Chase Briscoe (+3300) and Austin Cindric (+1600) are the first two out at the moment, so they need big weekends at Talladega.
NASCAR Cup YellaWood 500 Race Information
- Location: Talladega Superspeedway, Talladega, Ala.
- Day/Time: Sunday, Oct. 2, 2 p.m. ET
- NASCAR Cup YellaWood 500 Live Stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Cup YellaWood 500 Betting Lines
|ODDS TO WIN YELLAWOOD 500||MONEYLINE|
The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.
NASCAR Cup YellaWood 500 Prediction
Ross Chastain (+1600) won the spring race here, but he’s also an active postseason driver, and that would buck the trend of non-playoff drivers winning the last four races.
The same goes for Blaney (+1200), who won at Talladega in 2019 and 2020. Wallace (+1400) is the defending champion, but nobody has gotten a repeat in the last six seasons.
The pick this week is another shocker as Kevin Harvick gets the checkered flag. He’s out of the playoffs and has been getting battered this whole postseason, so why wouldn’t he turn things around and win?
That’s how NASCAR is in 2022. Harvick has also finished in the top 10 in four of his last five at Talladega, so he’s not just a random longshot at the sportsbook.