NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Picks and Predictions: Larson to Rule in Vegas on March 16
- We like Kyle Larson to win the NASCAR Pennzoil 400 at +350 odds.
- Ross Chastain offers betting value for a top-5 finish at +325.
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The NASCAR Cup Series stays out West and heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 on Sunday. After winning three straight races, Christopher Bell is among the NASCAR Cup Series odds favorites at +350. He is second only to Kyle Larson (+340.

Will Bell continue his historic run and register a fourth straight victory? Let’s break it down with our NASCAR best bets for the week.
3 NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Picks
1. Bet Larson (+340) to Deny Bell
It should be to no one’s surprise that Bell has short odds to win the Pennzoil 400 after winning three races on three entirely different track configurations. While he has never won in Sin City, he has been strong of late, with two runner-up finishes and another top five in his last four starts.
We might as well mention the pole here. Per NASCAR betting trends, Bell has won three poles in his career at Vegas, all in the last three years. He is naturally the favorite to do so once again at +250 odds.
It’s been a solid, albeit unspectacular season for Larson, with two third-place finishes through four races. But Vegas is the perfect place for him to break through as it is one of his best tracks on the schedule.
Before a chaotic 11th-place finish in October, he had won back-to-back races, with four total top-twos in five starts. If anyone were to knock Bell off his pedestal, it would be Larson, and that’s who we will go with as our NASCAR pick to win.
Bet this pick: Kyle Larson +350 to win the Pennzoil 400
2. Chastain, Busch Offer Value in Prop Betting
Who else might be up front with Larson and Bell? Ross Chastain has been excellent in the entertainment capital. He has five top-10s in his last six starts, with four being top-fives, per NASCAR stats. While it hasn’t been a terrific start to 2025 for the Melon Man, he clearly has a knack for speed at Vegas. We will stick to the trend and bet on another top-five at +325 odds.
Despite his winless streak making NASCAR news by reaching 61 races, Kyle Busch is off to a nice start, with three top-10s after not finishing at Daytona. While he hasn’t been great at his home track since joining Richard Childress Racing, he was great in his Joe Gibbs Racing days. We think the winless streak will continue, but we are in on the two-time champ to score another top-10
Bet this Top-5 Pick: Ross Chastain +325
Bet this Top-10 Pick: Kyle Busch -125
3. Suarez, Buescher Among Top-10 Predictions
It’s been a disastrous start to 2025 for Daniel Suarez. He has yet to score a top-10 and has failed to finish twice. But Vegas has quietly been one of his stronger tracks. He had an impressive third-place finish in October and finished between 10th and 15th in the previous three races. He’s proven he can run around the top-10, so we will take a chance on his +175 NASCAR betting lines.
In spite of struggles for RFK Racing teammate Brad Keselowski, Chris Buescher is quietly off to a great start. Every time he’s started his engine, he’s finished in the top-10 in all but one of them. RFK did not have speed at Phoenix but Buescher persisted to finish fifth. His numbers aren’t particularly impressive at Vegas, with just one top-10, but we will bank on his strong track record so far.
Let’s go with a longshot, low-stakes driver to add to your NASCAR betting picks sheet. This rookie has never started a Cup race at Vegas and that is Riley Herbst. A Vegas native, Herbst has been great at his home track in the Xfinity Series of late, winning in 2023 and recording four-straight top-10s.
Herbst notably finished 17th in every race he started this season until last week, so he had been showing respectably in his rookie season. Combining his experience at Vegas and his 23XI equipment, throw a low-stakes online bet on Herbst for a significant top-10 payout at +1200 odds.
Bet these top-10 picks: Daniel Suarez +175; Chris Buescher +120; Riley Herbst +1200
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Questions of the Day
Who is the favorite to win the Cup Series Championship?
Christopher Bell +325.
Who will be the winning team?
Hendrick Motorsports +150.