No Momentum Here
Matt DiBenedetto won the last Camping World Truck Series race, which many people may have forgotten about, considering the most recent event was way back on Oct. 1.
DiBenedetto is not in the round of eight, so his win does not come with an automatic berth to the Championship in Phoenix. This means that three spots in the final four are up for grabs, adding a bit more spice to the NASCAR odds for this weekend’s Baptist Health 200.
Majeski Only Lock for Phoenix
Way back on Sept. 15, Ty Majeski took home the checkered flag at the UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics.
That sent him to the Championship at Phoenix on Nov. 4, but he’s the only driver locked into that race right now. Majeski picked the perfect time to pick up his first win of the season, and he’s down to +750 in Baptist Health 200 betting.
There are two drivers that would seem safe for the Championship race barring the worst possible scenarios.
Chandler Smith has a 30-point lead on the fifth-place elimination line and is +550 to win at the Baptist Health 200. Right behind Smith is Zane Smith, who is +18 on being knocked out of the Championship race.
Majeski climbed up from seventh place into the Championship round with his win at Talladega, and with Chandler Smith and Zane Smith likely in on points, the quest for the final spot in Phoenix is pretty jam-packed.
Just eight points separate fourth-place Ben Rhodes and seventh-place John Hunter Nemechek, so the margin of error for four drivers is very thin.
It’s Nemechek that is the +330 favorite when betting online on the Baptist Health 200. After his win at Kansas, Nemechek has finished just 12th and then 24th in the last two playoff races, so he needs a strong showing at Homestead.
Ryan Preece is not a playoff driver, but he’s getting a Truck Series start this weekend and has the third-highest odds at +550. A win by Preece would put the rest of the top four based solely on points. Preece has finished in the top four in his last four Truck Series races.
Those who can get to Phoenix with an automatic berth following a win include Rhodes (+1200), Christian Eckes (+1000), Stewart Friesen (+2000), Nemechek and Grant Enfinger (+1600).
NASCAR Trucks Baptist Health 200 Race Information
- Location: Homestead-Miami Speedway, Homestead, Fla.
- Day/Time: Saturday, Oct. 22, 1 p.m. ET
- NASCAR Trucks Baptist Health 200 Live Stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Trucks Baptist Health Betting Odds
John Hunter Nemechek +330
Chandler Smith +550
Ryan Preece +550
Zane Smith +550
Ty Majeski +750
Corey Heim +900
Christian Eckes +1000
Ben Rhodes +1200
NASCAR Trucks Baptist Health 200 Prediction
This race wasn’t held in 2021, so there’s not a ton of course history to go off with this field. When you combine that with the top five of the last two races being very scrambled, it makes online gambling on the Baptist Health 200 difficult.
The lean here would be on one of the foursome of Rhodes, Eckes, Friesen and Nemechek, as they all have the most to lose here if they don’t pick up the outright win. Eckes has a top-10 finish in his last four races, so he’s right there and has a solid ROI at +1000.