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NASCAR Xfinity: Food City 300 Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Gragson Taking Over Series

Tough Act to Follow

However the 2022 Food City 300 plays out, it’s going to be hard to top last year’s event. It’s not very often that 1-2 in the lineup cross the finish line spinning, but that’s what happened as A.J. Allmendinger’s car nose edged out Austin Cindric’s vehicle in 2021.

Both cars then pummeled into the wall, and Allmendinger had to give his post-race interview from the care center. The No. 16 car was too beat up even to make it to the roof-top victory lane for post-race photos. NASCAR odds for this weekend have a very tough act to follow.

Justin Allgaier, driver of the #7 BRANDT Chevrolet
Justin Allgaier, driver of the #7 BRANDT Chevrolet - Logan Riely/Getty Images/afp

Let’s check the latest news, NASCAR picks, stats, reports, and NASCAR odds for Food City 300. We’ve plenty of NASCAR predictions for you to consider.

It’s Gragson’s World, and We’re Just Living in It

Noah Gragson is +400 for Food City 300 wagering, which seems low, but those are the third-highest odds for the race. That seems crazy considering Gragson has won back-to-back races both at Darlington and in last week’s red-flagged Kansas Lottery 300 that was stopped after lap 94.

Gragson has now matched Ty Gibbs with five series wins this season. Gibbs is right up there at +300 for betting online, but it’s Justin Allgaier listed as the favorite at +275.

We could see some fireworks between those two after Allgaier pushed Gibbs high at Kansas, and the No. 54 car responded with a door slam to Allgaier’s vehicle.

The third-place finishing Gibbs apologized after the race in which Allgaier was the runner-up, but we will see if any tensions carry over to Bristol.

Can Anybody Contend with the Big Three?

Kyle Larson returned to Xfinity to pick up a win at the Watkins Glen dirt track, and A.J. Allmendinger picked up the checkered flag at the Indianapolis road course. Otherwise, though, somebody among the trio of Gragson, Gibbs, and Allgaier have won five of the last six speedway races.

Allmendinger is +1000 to repeat as champ at the Food City 300 while Brandon Jones, who has won consecutive poles at Darlington and Kansas, is +1400.

This is the final regular-season race of the Xfinity series, so drivers like Sheldon Creed (+2000) and Ryan Sieg (+10000), who are just outside the playoffs, should be running hard for the win and the automatic berth.

NASCAR Xfinity Food City 300 Race Information

  • Location: Bristol Motor Speedway, Bristol, Tenn.
  • Day/Time: Friday, Sept. 16, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • NASCAR Xfinity Food City 300 Live Stream:

NASCAR Xfinity Food City 300 Betting Odds

Justin Allgaier +250
Ty Gibbs +300
Noah Gragson +400
Josh Berry +700
AJ Allmendinger +1000
Sam Mayer +1200
Brandon Jones +1400
Austin Hill +1600
Sammy Smith +1800
Sheldon Creed +2000
Daniel Hemric +4000
Riley Herbst +4000

NASCAR Xfinity Food City 300 Prediction

If this were horse racing, a quinella box with Allgaier, Gibbs, and Gragson would be a solid bet as those drivers came in the top three positions in Kansas and look to have a really good chance of doing the same at Bristol.

Allgaier led 92 laps here last season before his fourth-place finish, while Gibbs and Gragson are tied for the series lead with five victories in 2022.

Aside from one of the big three, a driver with a lot of value in the Las Vegas odds is Riley Herbst. He doesn’t have a win this season, so if a 2022 first-time victor gets the checkered flag, that would bump him down a spot in the playoff standings – which he’s already dangerously sitting at a projected 11th.

Plus, Herbst had a third-place finish at this event last season, so he can drive at Bristol.