Do We Get a Clincher?
Sheldon Creed nearly punched his automatic ticket to the Xfinity playoffs last weekend in Darlington but was outlasted by Noah Gragson, with AJ Allmendinger coming in third.
That leaves one playoff spot still open as the series heads to the Kansas Speedway on Saturday. Thirty-nine cars are on the entry list, with Ty Gibbs the +400 favorite in the NASCAR odds for this weekend.
One thing we won’t have in the Kansas Lottery 300 is as many double-dippers as last weekend in Darlington, where Cup Series regulars Kyle Larson took home fifth, Christopher Bell seventh, and Ross Chastain 15th.
Chastain is entering Kansas at +850, but the rest of the field is open for somebody like Creed (+2000) or Brandon Brown (+25000) to clinch their ticket to the playoffs with a win.
Gibbs for the Repeat?
Gibbs comes in as the +400 favorite on Saturday as the defending champion of the Kansas Lottery 300, his fourth win in last year’s rookie season.
He comes into the weekend on a three-race losing streak, which for him is a long time as he is currently projected to be the top-ranked driver heading into the playoffs with a circuit-leading five checkered flags this year.
Gibbs has nine career victories in 42 Xfinity starts. Gibbs led only 14 laps last year at Kansas Speedway, but it was good enough for him to get the win in an impressive rookie year.
Other Best Bets for Kansas
While Gibbs captured the Kansas Lottery 300 checkered flag last year, it was really Austin Cindric’s race to win as he was at the front for 151 laps. Cindric is not competing in the Xfinity race at Kansas this year, so AJ Allmendinger (10 laps), Myatt Snider (1), Daniel Hemric (15), and Noah Gragson (9) are the only returning drivers aside from Gibbs to lead laps in last year’s race.
Allmendinger is +800 and Gragson +450 in the scores and odds for Saturday night’s event. Gragson has some value as last weekend’s winner in Darlington and the projected #2 for the playoffs. Justin Allgaier (+450) is fourth in the playoff projections and is consistent with a top seven finish in 12 of his last 15.
NASCAR Kansas Lottery 300 Information
- Location: Kansas Speedway
- Day/Time: Saturday, September 10th, 3:00 p.m. ET
- NASCAR Live stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Kansas Lottery 300 Betting Lines
|ODDS TO WIN XFINITY KANSAS LOTTERY 300||MONEYLINE|
NASCAR Kansas Lottery 300 Prediction
The top-heavy favorites are all solid plays this week. Gibbs is due for a win, Allgaier is up there nearly every week, and Gragson is coming off a solid victory in Darlington. That being said, those are all guys who are already comfortably in the playoffs.
There’s value further down the ladder in the Las Vegas odds due to the postseason being so close and just two automatic bids remaining.
Creed at +2500 offers a great return on investment as he was close to punching his ticket last week, leading 47 laps before the runner-up finish at Darlington. Creed is down 16 points for the final spot in the playoffs, so he’s going to be running hard yet again.