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NASCAR Xfinity Series Pit Boss 250 Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Can Anyone Challenge Hill in Texas?

And Now for Something Completely Different

Until this weekend, NASCAR’s three series have raced on the familiar banked turns of ovals and speedways to start the season. However, this weekend, every driver faces an entirely different and new challenge: Circuit of the Americas (CoTA).

CoTA is a permanent racing facility designed and FIA homologated for Formula 1. Unlike speedways, CoTA provides one of the most unique moments to judge the skill level and pace of every driver on a complicated and technical track.

John Hunter Nemechek, driver of the #20 Mobil 1 Toyota
John Hunter Nemechek, driver of the #20 Mobil 1 Toyota - Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images/afp

How Different is CoTA?

One lap around CoTA is 20 turns over 3.426 miles. There are plenty of overtaking opportunities with three straights, but each driver’s skill will be tested in the fast-flowing section from turn two to turn six. Turns 13-16 are slow, technical corners that drivers will need to navigate perfectly to get the driving line to really open up with turns 18-19.

What does this mean for your online sports betting this weekend? CoTA could easily demonstrate why the leading drivers are at the top of the Championship standings or provide an opportunity for an unexpected longshot to emerge from the field and shock the sport betting world.

Will Hill Continue to Dominate?

If Richard Childress Racing-Chevrolet’s Austin Hill (+900) has been a feature in your NASCAR betting picks, congratulations: You have been very successful this season.

Hill picked up his third race win and fifth top-10 finish last weekend in Atlanta and has to be among your potential betting picks to win every weekend. Hill led the most laps for the second race this season and won the first stage before landing on Victory Lane.

While CoTA presents a completely different challenge for Hill, it will help gauge how he might do in Portland or on other non-oval race tracks.

Hill is the front-runner on future Xfinity Series Champion sportsbook lines, and if you haven’t placed that wager yet, you might want to get on the Hill bandwagon.

Contenders Not Named Hill

The current NASCAR odds leaders are all Cup Series regulars getting extra laps around CoTA before Sunday’s Cup Series race.

Kaulig Racing-Chevrolet’s A.J. Allmendinger (+200) is the betting favorite while Hendrick Motorsports-Chevrolet’s William Byron, who has two Cup Series wins this season, is close behind Allmendinger at +300. Byron should be among those considered to win.

Ty Gibbs (+500), the 2022 Xfinity Series Champion from Joe Gibbbs Racing-Toyota, returns from the Cup Series for the first time this season. Gibbs took pole position for the 2022 Pit Boss 250 but finished 11th and isn’t among our picks to win at CoTA this weekend.

The Xfinity Series regulars, besides Hill, who can contend for the win this weekend, are headlined by Stewart-Haas Racing-Ford’s Cole Custer (+800), who finished 12th for the third consecutive race in Atlanta. Custer is due to break out.

Joe Gibbs Racing-Toyota’s John Hunter Nemechek (+1400) is coming off his fifth consecutive top-10 finish and could win his second race of the season at CoTA.

Although he’s quite the longshot, Stewart-Haas Racing-Ford’s Riley Herbst (+6600) has finished in the top eight in all five races this season, including fifth in Atlanta, and could be a longshot to pay out on Saturday.

Pit Boss 250 Race Recent Results

While CoTA has long been the home of Formula 1 in America, this is the third consecutive year that NASCAR has taken over Austin. Of the two previous Xfinity Series winners at CoTA, only one driver is listed as a confirmed entrant and sits atop the NASCAR odds for this weekend.

Kyle Busch in a Joe Gibbs Racing-Toyota won the inaugural race at CoTA in 2021, but he will not be running in the 2023 edition. However, last year’s winner, Allmendinger, returns to the Xfinity Series and is your favorite on NASCAR lines heading into this weekend.

Pit Boss 250 Race Information

  • Race: NASCAR Xfinity Series Pit Boss 250 – 48 Laps (156.86 mi) – Stage 1: 14 laps, Stages 2/3: 16 laps
  • Location: Circuit of the Americas, Austin, Texas
  • Day/Time: Saturday, March 25th, 5:00 p.m. ET
  • Xfinity Series Pit Boss 250 Live Stream: NBCSports.com

Pit Boss 250 Race Betting Lines

Xfinity Series Pit Boss 250 Moneyline
AJ Allmendinger +200
William Byron +300
Ty Gibbs +500
Cole Custer +800
Austin Hill +900
John Hunter Nemechek +1400
Sheldon Creed +1600
Justin Allgaier +2000
Sammy Smith +2500
Chandler Smith +2800
Sam Mayer +2500
Parker Kligerman +2500

The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.

Pit Boss 250 Race Picks and Prediction

Our pick to win the Pit Boss 250 is Joe Gibbs Racing-Toyota’s Nemechek (+1400)

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