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NASCAR Xfinity Series: ToyotaCare 250 Race Prediction, Race Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Lineup of All-Xfinity Series Regulars Set To Storm Short Track

From Sweeping Esses to a Short Track Sprint

Last weekend, NASCAR’s Xfinity Series took its turn trying to tame the technical and tricky Circuit of the Americas, America’s Formula 1 heart. However, the Xfinity Series regulars to a back seat as CoTA and the PitBoss 250 were dominated by Cup Series regulars who took the top three positions last weekend.

Kaulig Racing-Chevrolet’s A.J. Allmendinger was the fastest driver in practice, took pole position, winning stage 1 and landing his ride on Victory Lane, leading 28 of the 46 laps.

Justin Allgaier, driver of the #7 BRANDT Chevrolet
Justin Allgaier, driver of the #7 BRANDT Chevrolet - Logan Riely/Getty Images/afp

Hendrick Motorsports-Chevrolet’s William Byron’s second-place finish was a sign of the performance to come in the Cup Series Race and makes Byron a betting favorite on street circuits going forward. Last season’s Xfinity Series Drivers’ Champion and winner at Richmond Joe Gibbs Racing-Toyota’s Ty Gibbs returned to the Xfinity Series and finished third at CoTA.

This Saturday the field is lacking the Cup Series presence from CoTA in the NASCAR lines and leaves the sweeping Silverstone-style esses behind as NASCAR travels to America’s premier short track, the friendly and familiar Richmond Raceway.

Who Will Bounce Back?

A few Xfinity Series Drivers will have better NASCAR odds to win this weekend with the lack of Cup Series regulars participating and a return to oval racing.

Current Xfinity Series Drivers’ Championship leader Richard Childress Racing-Chevrolet’s Austin Hill is coming off his worst weekend of the season, a disappointing 37th at CoTA. However, Hill has three race wins and has finished in the top seven in the season’s first five races.

Joe Gibbs Racing-Toyota’s John H. Nemechek has a race win at Fontana and five top eight finished this season and is a perennial Xfinity Series favorite. Nemechek will be aiming to bounce back from a disappointing 27th-place finish at CoTA and return to the front of the pack on the short track.

Consistency to Pay Off?

Steweart-Haas Racing-Ford’s Riley Herbst has been consistent all season long, finishing in the top 10 in all six Xfinity Series Races this season, with two top-five finishes. Herbst is a candidate for a top-five finish, but at some point, his consistently good performances should pay off in a race win.

JR Motorsports-Chevrolet’s Justin Allgaier has won at Richmond in the past and has four top-five finishes this season. Allgaier also has three stage wins, including both stage victories at Phoenix before finishing 36th. As far as sport betting favorites to pick this weekend, Allgaier to win at Richmond is a pretty good pick and will reward his excellent performances so far this season.

Allgaier’s JR Motorsports teammate Josh Berry has been getting drives in the Cup Series, replacing an injured Chase Elliott. However, Berry has finished in the top eight in the last five Xfinity Series races but is yet to score a finish better than fifth place.

Berry’s consistent performances and challenging at the front of the field will eventually pay dividends, resulting in a race win.

NASCAR Xfinity Series: ToyotaCare 250 Recent Results

While a list of familiar names from the NASCAR Cup Series past and present have won this Xfinity Series race at Richmond, including Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, and Denny Hamlin, none of these drivers are confirmed to race this weekend.

However, with no NASCAR Cup series drivers sitting atop the NASCAR betting odds, we’ll have two returning winners whose success at Richmond can’t be underestimated.

Stewart-Haas Racing-Ford’s Cole Custer won this race back in 2019. JR Motorsports-Chevrolet’s Justin Allgaier is the other returning Xfinity Series winner at Richmond, winning back in 2020.

NASCAR Xfinity Series: ToyotaCare 250 Race Information

  • Race: NASCAR Xfinity Series Toyota Care 250 – 250 laps (187.5 mi): Stage 1/2: 75 laps, Stage 3: 100 laps.
  • Location: Richmond Raceway, Richmond, Virginia
  • Day/Time: Saturday, April 1, 2023, 1 p.m. ET
  • Xfinity Series Toyota Care 250 Live Stream: NBCSports.com

NASCAR Xfinity Series: ToyotaCare 250 Betting Lines

ToyotaCare 250

Moneyline
John Hunter Nemechek +330
Justin Allgaier +425
Josh Berry +450
Sammy Smith +650
Chandler Smith +700
Sam Mayer +650
Cole Custer +900
Austin Hill +900
Sheldon Creed +1200
Brandon Jones +2000
Riley Herbst +2500
Daniel Hemric +3300

The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.

NASCAR Xfinity Series: ToyotaCare 250 Picks and Prediction

After reviewing the NASCAR odds for this weekend, a familiar cast of favorites has emerged. Here are some of the drivers we’re considering for our online sports betting pick to win the race or have a top-five finish.

As mentioned, Hill is likely to bounce back, and with three race wins this season, Hill has to be considered among the drivers to win at Richmond. So is John H. Nemechek, but we’re looking at Nemechek for a possible top-five finish.

However, we’re picking between Riley Herbst and Justin Allgaier to get their first win of the season and give a slight edge to Allgaier.

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