History on the Line
There are hot streaks, and then there are historical runs, and Noah Gragson appears to be on the latter.
Gragson held off Brandon Jones last week at Texas to pick up his fourth straight Xfinity Series checkered flag. The most recent victory tied Sam Ard for most race wins in a row, and Gragson can have the record all to himself with a win in the Sparks 300 on Saturday.
Perhaps more shocking than Gragson’s dominance is that he’s not the overwhelming favorite in the NASCAR odds this weekend listed at just +700, tied with Austin Hill.
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There Could Be an Opening Here
It might be a bit tougher for Gragson to continue his string of success, as he’ll be pulling double duty and also racing in the Cup Series event on Sunday with Alex Bowman suffering concussion-like symptoms.
Gragson did also win the Spring race at Talladega, so even though he might be looking ahead to the Cup Series, he also likes this track. There’s also that little detail about rewriting history as the first driver to win five straight Xfinity races that should have Gragson dialed in regardless of his weekend schedule.
Gragson is not the only former Talladega winner entered in this Saturday’s field, as Jeb Burton (+3500) won the Spring race here last season while Brandon Brown (+4000) is the defending Sparks 300 champion.
Go With the Track Veteran
Talladega is a Superspeedway, so obviously, the penchant for a wild finish is out there, especially when you throw in the fact that drivers can clinch a spot in the playoff round of eight with a win.
There are things to not like about many of the drivers atop the bet online odds. For instance, Hill is a +700 favorite but has crashed in both of his starts at Talladega. Ty Gibbs is +800, but he started in third and finished 35th in his only start at Dega.
Somebody with familiarity at Talladega has some tremendous value, and Jones (+1400) has nine career starts here. Jones has finished in the top five, including second place at the Sparks 300 last season.
Jones has also finished in the top four in two of the last three Xfinity races overall, so he’s dialed in – plus, he needs a win for an automatic berth in the round of eight as he is currently in 12th in the playoff standings.
NASCAR Xfinity Sparks 300 Race Information
- Location: Talladega Superspeedway
- Day/Time: Saturday, Oct. 01, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Xfinity Sparks 300 Live stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Xfinity Sparks 300 Betting Odds
|ODDS TO WIN XFINITY SERIES SPARKS 300||MONEYLINE|
The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.
NASCAR Xfinity Sparks 300 Prediction
Nobody would look down on you for going to the sportsbook and taking Gragson to pick up his fifth straight win as he’s been dominant in the last month. Even the +700 odds aren’t that incredibly high, considering the run that Gragson has been on.
Gragson also has Cup Series duties this weekend and has a target on his back in the Xfinity race, as he’s been the toast of the circuit during his win streak.
Jones has a lot of experience at Talladega, including a runner-up in this event last season, so he’s the play for a little better payout at +1400.