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2021 NASCAR Cup Series at Phoenix – Top Five Picks To Win The Instacart 500


Will reigning NASCAR Cup champion Chase Elliott live up to his status as the prohibitive favorite heading into Sunday’s Instacart 500 in Phoenix? Could Elliott get beat out for the win by a handful of veterans that have experienced far more success on the track?

Are we in for another surprise winner with the 2021 campaign already off to a surprising start that has produced two stunners in four events?

Kyle Busch, driver of the Ethel M Chocolates Toyota, drives during the NASCAR Cup Series Pennzoil 400 presented
Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images/AFP

If you’re looking to maximize your chances of cashing in when the 2021 NASCAR Cup season rolls into Phoenix for Sunday’s showcase event, then let’s get to my top five sportsbook betting picks to win!

Instacart 500 Odds

Chase Elliott +600

Brad Keselowski +750

Denny Hamlin +600

Kevin Harvick +650

Kyle Busch +650

Joey Logano +750

Kyle Larson +750

Martin Truex Jr. +750

Ryan Blaney +1100

William Byron +1500

Alex Bowman +2200

Kurt Busch +3000

Christopher Bell +1800

No. 5 Kyle Busch

Kyle Busch is 14th in the NASCAR Cup standings, but I think he’s going to have a chance to get the outright win on Sunday. Busch has two Top-10 finishes and one Top-5 finish in four races this season. More importantly, Busch is a consistent challenger to win at Phoenix. In 31 career races in Phoenix the 35-year-old Las Vegas native has a whopping 22 Top-10 finishes, 12 Top-5 finishes and three wins. Busch has taken the checkered flag in two of the last five races in Phoenix by winning the Can-Am 500 in the fall of 2018 and the Ticket Guardian 500 in the spring of 2019. He finished eighth in the NASCAR standings a year ago after winning the crown in 2019. Busch should be hungry and I believe his familiarity and success in Phoenix makes him a top five pick to win this coming weekend.

Check out the odds to win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship.

No. 4 Chase Elliott

Fourth in the NASCAR standings, 25-year-old reigning champ Chase Elliott has one Top-5 finish in four races, but comes into this event off a 13th place finish in Las Vegas last weekend. The Georgia native won five races a year ago and took home the checkered flag at Phoenix Raceway in the fall, Season Finale 500. Elliott also finished seventh in the spring race at Phoenix last year and has recorded a stellar six, Top-10 finishes in 10 career appearances at the track. Elliott has one second place finish in Phoenix and a third place finish as well. I expect the reigning champ to push for the outright win even though he’s not my top pick to win.

No. 3 Denny Hamlin

Four races into the 2021 season, the 40-year-old Hamlin sits atop the NASCAR Cup standings with three Top-5 finishes including a fourth place finish in Las Vegas last weekend. Last year, Hamlin finished 20th in the spring race at Phoenix before finishing fourth in the fall, Season Finale 500. In 31 career appearances at the track, the Florida native has recorded a stellar 18 Top-10 finishes and 14 Top-5 finishes. Hamlin has taken the checkered flag twice at Phoenix, most recently, in the Bluegreen Vacations 500 in the fall of 2019.

No. 2 Joey Logano

Sixth in the NASCAR Cup standings, 30-year-old Joey Logano has two Top-10 finishes in four races this season and one Top-5 finish. More importantly, in 24 career appearances in Phoenix, the Connecticut native has recorded a fantastic, 13 Top-10 finishes, five Top-5 finishes and two wins. Logano took home the hardware in the spring Fan Shield 500 race at Phoenix last year before finishing third in the Season Finale 500 fall race. Hell, Logano has four straight Top 10 finishes on the track, making him my No. 2 pick to get the win in Phoenix this coming weekend.

No. 1 Kevin Harvick

Seventh in the NASCAR standings, I love the value that Kevin Harvick is offering coming into this event. In four races this season, Harvick has three Top-10 finishes and a pair of Top-5 finishes. In 36 career races at Phoenix, the California native has recorded a mind-boggling 25 Top-10 finishes, 18 Top-5 finishes and a whopping nine wins. Harvick finished second in last year’s spring Fan Shield 500 race at Phoenix before finishing 11th in the Season Finale 500 fall race at the track. Believe it or not, Harvick has recorded an absolutely incredible 15 consecutive Top 10 finishes at Phoenix while winning six times and finishing second on two other occasions. That kind of consistent success makes Harvick my top pick to win in the desert this weekend.

Learn how to bet on sports online and read our latest sportsbook reviews before making all of your NASCAR Cup Series bets in our bettor-friendly online sportsbook.

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