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Warriors vs Hawks Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Both Likely Headed to Play-In Tournament
The Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks are each teetering on the edge of automatic playoff contention. The Hawks are the No. 8 seed in the East and are currently headed for the play-in tournament, while the Struggling Warriors are just one game ahead of the No. 7 Minnesota Timberwolves. While the play-in tournament is technically the playoffs, it’s not somewhere either team wants to be. Despite a rocky record at the State Farm Arena, the Hawks are home favorites on the NBA lines.
Warriors Bad Bet on the Road
The Warriors continue to struggle despite the return of Stephen Curry. The problem is that Curry is forced to carry this team, and the supporting cast isn’t doing enough to help. Their recent loss to the Los Angeles Clippers is a perfect example. Curry scored 50 points, and the Warriors lost by eight. Jordan Poole was the only other Warrior to score over 15 points, and Golden State got crushed on the boards.
Steph Curry has had two 50-point games this season…
Both coming on the road, both ending in losses 😳 pic.twitter.com/QiyqO7LKOU
— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPointsApp) March 16, 2023
The Warriors enter this game with the worst record against the spread (ATS) of any team on the road at 9-25. This problem has plagued Golden State all season, and it’s only getting worse as the Warriors are 1-9 ATS in their last ten road games.
The NBA news regarding injuries continues for Curry and this team. The superstar is listed as questionable for Friday, with soreness in his left thumb. Alongside Curry are Kevon Looney and Ty Gerome, who are also questionable. Meanwhile, Draymond Green is out, while Andre Igoduala is scheduled for wrist surgery and won’t return soon.
Hawks 1-4 ATS in Last Five Home Games
While the Warriors are the worst ATS road team in the NBA, the Hawks are the fifth-worst home team in the league. If you plan to bet on basketball Friday night, there are better options than the Hawks.
With a 14-18-1 ATS record at home, Hawks backers are down a total of -5.80 units with a return on investment of -15.98%. In Atlanta’s last five games at home, it is 1-4 ATS with a negative ROI of -61.82%.
As underdogs, this wouldn’t be such a bad spot to bet on Atlanta. But the NBA point spread on Friday favors the home team by 1.5 points. As favorites, the Hawks’ ATS record plummets to 15-24 as they cover less than 39% of the time. As home favorites, their record is 11-16 ATS.
Unlike the Warriors, the Hawks can’t blame these struggles on injuries, with Jalen Johnson the only guy listed on the injury report. He is probable to play on Friday.
Warriors vs Hawks Game Injuries
Warriors vs Hawks Head-to-Head
The Warriors beat the Hawks 143-141 in the only matchup between the two this season. Golden State covered a -1½ favorite on the NBA betting lines while the Over cashed for the third time in a row in this series.
Warriors vs Hawks Game Information
- Game: Warriors (36-34) vs Hawks (34-35)
- Location State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
- Day/Time: Friday, March 17, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Warriors vs Hawks Live stream: NBA Game Pass
Warriors vs Hawks Betting Lines
Warriors vs Hawks Picks and Prediction
With the worst ATS road team and 5th worst home team going at it, this is one of the tougher NBA picks on Friday. The Hawks at least have health going for them, and it’s unclear at this point whether Curry will play for Golden State. I will overlook their struggles at home for this matchup, take the Hawks to win, and cover this short spread. Fingers crossed, Curry takes the night off to rest his finger.
The Atlanta Hawks are listed at -160 in our Vegas NBA lines. If you wager $100 on the Warriors, you can win $63. The Golden State Warriors are +140, offering a chance to win $140 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Hawks a 61.54% chance to win, with the Warriors at 41.67%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
Warriors vs Hawks Trends
Warriors vs Hawks Edge
Warriors vs Hawks Results
Warriors vs Hawks Game Summary
Hawks vs Warriors Previous Game (Jan 2, 2023)
The Golden State Warriors host the Atlanta Hawks on Monday, looking for their fifth straight home victory on the trot. Despite missing some key pieces, Jordan Poole continues to pick up the slack left by Stephan Curry and then some, with a 41-point game on Friday. Meanwhile, the Hawks are in a slump and come up against the Warriors in a bad spot on their home court.
The Warriors’ dominance at home, with or without Curry, is crystal clear. Despite missing their best player, the Warriors are chock full of talent and have the best home-court advantage numbers (16-2) in the NBA.
