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Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Nuggets Can Steamroll Injury-Plagued Spurs
The Denver Nuggets will look to shake off a horrible loss against Chicago by blowing out the hapless San Antonio Spurs. The NBA lines favor Denver by at least a dozen points as the Spurs are blatantly tanking by adding more players to the injury list. This includes half of their key players. Nikola Jokic, the MVP frontrunner, is healthy for Denver and will lead his Nuggets as they look to do better on the road.
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Nuggets Struggle on the Road
If the Nuggets are to prove they are legitimate title contenders, they will need to start playing better on the road. Denver is just 16-15 as a visitor and 14-17 against the spread (ATS). Even worse is their net rating: which is only 17th in the NBA at -3.1.
Jokic still makes NBA news and puts up lofty stats on the road. But Denver’s middling record may be due to playing down to the competition. The Nuggets are 5-5 against the top six teams from each conference as a visitor. That means they are just 11-10 against the rest of the NBA (7-10 ATS as a road favorite).
It will be tough making the Nuggets as an NBA pick as chalk on the road. Jokic will need to average big stats. Denver is 24-0 when he has a triple-double this season. So far, he’s averaged 23.5 points, 10 assists, and seven boards against San Antonio in their past two games.
UNDEFEATED when Jokic has a triple-double this year… the No. 1 seeded @nuggets host No. 2 Memphis at 10pm/et on ESPN!
— NBA (@NBA) March 3, 2023
Scoring Generously With San Antonio
It’s tough to bet online in San Antonio these days. The Spurs, despite their lofty underdog spreads, are just covering 38.7% of the time. Save your money and look to the totals instead. At least 58% of Spurs games go over the total (35-25-2) when they are the underdogs.
Gregg Popovich is here just letting the kids play as the team plays no defense. San Antonio gives up over 122 points a game, which is easily last in the NBA. Teams make nearly 51% of their field-goal attempts when playing the Spurs. That’s why the sportsbook keeps moving up the totals for this team.
The question for them now is: will they be able to keep up with Denver to the point that the Nuggets will play their best players for most of the game? If San Antonio gets blown out by halftime, Jokic and co. may rest come the fourth quarter. This is something to keep an eye on NBA live betting odds.
Nuggets vs Spurs Game Injuries
Nuggets vs Spurs Head-to-Head
The Nuggets have won seven of their last 10 games against the Spurs. But San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in its last four games hosting Denver. The total went under in their last three games.
Nuggets vs Spurs Game Information
- Game: Nuggets (46-20) vs Spurs (16-49)
- Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
- Day/Time: Friday, March. 10, 8 p.m. ET
- Nuggets vs Spurs Live stream: NBA Game Pass
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Nuggets vs Spurs Betting Lines
Nuggets vs Spurs Picks and Prediction
Denver is far from perfect on the road. But the Spurs are so bad, the Nuggets will have no issues scoring against them. In fact, Denver averages 51.7%t from the field in its last three games against San Antonio. Don’t fear the large spread as Denver got it done at Houston and is 7-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 10+ points.
Denver is listed at -750 in our Vegas NBA lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Nuggets, you have a chance to win $13. San Antonio is +520, offering a chance to win $520 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Denver an 88.24% chance to win, with the Spurs at 16.13%.
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Nuggets vs Spurs Trends
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Nuggets vs Spurs Game Summary
Nuggets vs Spurs Previous Game (Nov 7, 2022)
Nikola Jokic is the driving force behind the Denver Nuggets as they look to score a road win against the San Antonio Spurs on Monday.
It comes as no surprise to see the Nuggets listed as solid favorites with NBA betting markets after the Spurs have dropped three on the bounce.
Covering big spreads on the road isn’t easy but we can’t see how the Spurs keep this game close.
They don’t have enough offensive firepower to keep up with the many weapons of the Nuggets, who have one of the deepest teams in the NBA.
Bookmakers have the total at 234 points and we’re taking the under. We expect the final score to be around the 121-99 mark.
Nuggets vs Spurs Game Summary
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