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Heat vs Pistons Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Miami Clashing With Tankers

The Miami Heat have a great chance to score a vital win on Tuesday against the tanking Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena.

NBA lines have the Heat rightfully at -12½ points, and given the current form of the Pistons, we expect that number to lengthen.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Heat vs Pistons Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Most of the sportsbook action should come for the visitors, who find form at this stage of the year.

Heat Locked in Battle

The Heat is currently seventh in the Eastern Conference, so they would love to close the gap on the Brooklyn Nets for the important sixth seed.

It wasn’t looking good after losing three consecutive games to the Nets, Raptors and Knicks. However, they rebounded with a vital 129-122 win over the Dallas Mavericks.

It was much-needed, especially after losing three straight to Eastern Conference rivals. It has also earned the respect of online gambling markets, who expect the Heat to score a double-digit win against the engine-less Pistons.

A win is a win,” Miami’s Jimmy Butler said. “I don’t like the fact that they shot 61%. But I do like the fact that we finally won a game.”

Unlike most seasons, the Heat has been a terrible team for bettors. Usually so reliable, they are a woeful 29-47-2 against the spread, including not covering the sports betting number in three of their last four games.

It’s not good enough for a team with so much talent on the roster. Therefore, they need the likes of Butler and Tyler Herro to show up on Tuesday. Otherwise, the Pistons could cover the spread with the help of home-court advantage.

It’s Tanking Time

The allure of likely No. 1 NBA Draft pick Victor Wembanyama is too much for the Detroit Pistons to overlook.

He could be a next-level talent in the NBA, so we’re not surprised to see them tanking. They are now 16-62 and it’s another shocking season for the Pistons, who are vaguely similar to the Philadelphia 76ers of old.

Trusting the process only works when the team eventually has success, but the Pistons have indulged in a losing culture, which is dangerous. However, James Wiseman believes staying patient is key, according to NBA news.

I just got to take it one day at a time. I can’t be so hard on myself about anything, about trying to be good right now, all the instant gratification stuff,” Wiseman said.

Sometimes it comes into my mind, but I got to just look at it for what it is and be real with myself. It’s going to take time. It’s not going to be now. It’s going to be within time, it just takes time within the craft. I just got to keep working. That’s it.

The Pistons get +12½ points to work with against the Heat. They are 32-42-2 ATS, so they have a better spread record than the Heat. However, bettors rarely know what to expect when teams are tanking.

Heat vs Pistons Game Injuries

Heat vs Pistons Head-to-Head

The Heat won the most recent meeting 112-100 when covering a -10 spread in March.

However, the Pistons have a 6-3-1 ATS advantage from their last 10 meetings, including a 5-1 ATS record in their last six meetings at home.

Heat vs Pistons Game Information

  • Game: Heat (41-37) vs Pistons (16-62)
  • Day/Time: Tuesday, April 4, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
  • Heat vs Pistons Live stream: NBA Game Pass

Heat vs Pistons Betting Lines

Heat vs Pistons Picks and Prediction

Our NBA picks have the Heat covering the spread. They have much more to play for, especially against the Pistons.

Despite being 15-23 away from home, they come off a tidy win over the Mavericks, so they have momentum on their side.

It should be a low-scoring contest, so include the under in your NBA picks.

Miami is listed at -800 in our Vegas NBA lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Heat, there’s a chance to win $13. Detroit is +550, offering a chance to win $550 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Miami an 88.89% chance to win, with the Pistons at 15.38%.

Heat vs Pistons Edge

Heat vs Pistons Results

Heat vs Pistons Game Summary

Heat vs Pistons Previous (Mar 19, 2023)

Miami has been the worst team in the league for those who bet on NBA games, posting a league-worst 25-44-3 against the spread. And it lost by 20 at home to this Pistons team earlier in the season.

But don’t go with those trends in this one. The basketball odds have the Heat as rather heavy road favorites for a reason – they’re a much better team and won’t allow themselves to drop both ends of this back-to-back.

Heat vs Pistons Game Summary

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