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Thunder vs Warriors Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

History on Golden State’s Side

Implications for Play-In Picture

Tuesday’s NBA action features a clash between the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-41) and Golden State Warriors (41-38). This is a matchup that no NBA predictions saw coming. Who would have thought an April battle between the Thunder and Warriors would greatly impact the Play-In Tournament?

Of course, it has been a disappointing season for the defending champions Golden State. Oklahoma City has emerged with one of the NBA’s brightest young cores. The Thunder are 1-3 and 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last four games, while the Warriors are 2-2 and 1-3 ATS during the same span.

Thunder vs Warriors Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Thunder vs Warriors Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Thunder in Postseason Mix

A 10-7 record in March solidified Oklahoma City in the postseason picture. The Thunder are firmly holding the 10th spot, one game above the Dallas Mavericks. NBA odds have OKC at -200 to make the Play-In Tournament.

However, the Thunder are 2-5 and 0-7 ATS in the last seven games and must get back on track in the final three games of the regular season. Dallas still has a solid chance of passing Oklahoma City with +150 odds to make the Play-In, per the sportsbook.

In the last four games, opponents averaged 123 points while shooting 51.8% from the field. The Thunder have looked to outscore opponents for most of the season, but the defense must be better. However, the Warriors also feature a poor defense, ranking 22nd in allowed points per game. After back-to-back 39-point performances, guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is poised for another big game.

Splash Trio Rolling

If you like points, this is the game to watch. Golden State has scored at least 120 points in five of the last seven. Its backcourt is hitting its stride at the right time. Stephen Curry (29.5 points) has done the usual, posting 30-point games in two of the last three. Klay Thompson (21.8 points) averaged 28 points in the last two, and Jordan Poole (20.5 points) averaged 25 in the last five.

A prop for Poole’s made 3-pointers could be one of the best sports bets of the night. He has shot 17-of-41 from deep (41.5%) in the last five games. The Thunder rank 26th in allowed 3-pointers per game.

The Warriors’ playoff seed could drastically change in the upcoming week. Fifth place through eighth is nearly even. Golden State is only half a game above the Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Pelicans. NBA lines have the Warriors at +175 to participate in the Play-In Tournament, which would require Golden State to drop in the standings.

Thunder vs Warriors Game Injuries

Thunder vs Warriors Head-to-Head

The Warriors are 8-2 and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Golden State has also won four straight home games against the Thunder.

Thunder vs Warriors Game Information

  • Game: Thunder (38-41) vs Warriors (41-38)
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • Day/Time: Tuesday, April 4th, 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Thunder vs. Warriors Live Stream: NBA Game Pass

Thunder vs Warriors Betting Lines


Thunder vs Warriors Picks and Prediction

Every meeting between the Thunder and Warriors has been a high-scoring affair this season. The over is 3-0. Both defenses have continued to struggle over the last few games. Plus, star players on both teams have good matchups. Curry, Thompson, and Poole should rain in threes against Oklahoma City’s weak perimeter defense, and Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28 points against Golden State this season. NBA betting on the over has performed well for both teams. Take the over.

Golden State is listed at -350 in our Vegas NBA lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Warriors, you have a chance to win $29. Oklahoma City is +280 offering a chance to win $280 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Golden State a 77.78% chance to win, with the Thunder at 26.32%.

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Thunder vs Warriors Edge

Thunder vs Warriors Results

Thunder vs Warriors Game Summary

Warriors vs Thunder Previous Game (Mar 7, 2023)

The Golden State Warriors lost Sunday in Stephen Curry’s return, which also snapped their five-game winning streak. But going by the NBA lines, Golden State should bounce back against the Thunder. Golden State is 8-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games against the Thunder, including winning four of its last five in OKC.

Every dog has its day. This time, the Thunder will finally stick it to the Warriors. Golden State may dominate the NBA scores and odds against Oklahoma City, but not this Tuesday. The Thunder have been playing better overall basketball, while Golden State still struggles on the road – six straight losses.

Warriors vs Thunder Game Summary

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