The Miami Heat look to bounce back and avoid losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers twice this week on their home court. However, the Heat struggle at home and are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) during their current six-game homestead. Friday’s game against the Cavs is the last of their home games for a bit, and the Heat would like to leave town winners for a change. The NBA lines are not in their favor and list the Cavaliers as road favorites for their second straight game in Miami.
Cavs Look for Back-to-Back Wins
The Cavaliers enter Friday with a firm hold on the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games behind the Philadelphia 76ers. They aren’t getting a lot of love on the NBA Finals odds board at +3300 to go all the way.
The longshot futures odds for the Cavs make more sense when considering their 25th-ranked scoring offense. Yes, Cleveland’s defense is stifling, but slowing down your opponents can only get you so far.
Regarding this matchup, the Cavs lucked out with the Heat’s 30th-ranked scoring offense doing even less than Cleveland. Miami’s defense is good but not as dominant, and the gap between the two is evidenced by the Cavs’ top-ranked average score margin of +5.5 compared to the 22nd-ranked Heat at -0.7.
According to Friday’s report, no NBA news regarding injuries, and the Cavaliers are 100% healthy.
Heat Don’t Cover
The Heat need help to not only win games but to cover spreads. Miami is 3-7 straight up (SU) in its previous 10 and 2-8 against the spread (ATS). This is not a new problem for the Heat, who are neck and neck with the Dallas Mavericks for the worst ATS record in the NBA. At 24-41-2, the Heat have an awful return on investment (ROI) of -28.63%, and bettors are down -21.10 units this season.
Jimmy Butler speaks about turnovers, the end of the game, and the Heat’s standing in the Eastern Conference after tonight’s loss to Cleveland@MiamiHEAT | #HEATCulture pic.twitter.com/JHZQ8oWDiQ
— Bally Sports Florida & Bally Sports Sun (@BallySportsFL) March 9, 2023
Don’t for a second think the Heat are to be trusted just because they’re home. Their NBA point spread record at home is the worst in the league at 10-23-1, and bettors have lost nearly half their investments with an ROI of -40.91%.
Cavaliers vs Heat Game Injuries
Cavaliers vs Heat Head-to-Head
The Heat are 1-2 ATS this season against the Cavs and 0-1 at home. The NBA betting lines listed the Heat as favorites on Wednesday, but after losing by 4, the spread favors the road team on Friday.
Cavaliers vs Heat Game Information
- Game: Cavaliers (42-26) vs Heat (35-32)
- Location Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL
- Day/Time: Friday, March 10th, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Cavaliers vs Heat Live Stream: NBA Game Pass
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Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Lines
Cavaliers vs Heat Picks and Prediction
I don’t trust my NBA picks for Friday on the Heat at home as their record continues to go downhill in South Beach, where they cover less than 29% of the time.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are listed at -125 in our Vegas NBA lines. If you wager $100 on the Cavaliers, you can win $80. The Miami Heat are +105, offering a chance to win $105 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Cavaliers a 55.56% chance to win, with the Heat at 48.78%.
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Cavaliers vs Heat Trends
Cavaliers vs Heat Edge
Cavaliers vs Heat Results
Cavaliers vs Heat Game Summary
Cavaliers vs Heat Previous Game (Mar. 8, 2023)
Wednesday marks the first of back-to-back matchups between the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) and Miami Heat (35-31) in South Beach. Following a three-game losing streak, the Cavs are back on track with a 3-1 record outright and against the spread (ATS) in the last four games. The Heats are 2-2 and 1-3 ATS over the last four.
With the regular season ending in about one month, we are entering the final push for NBA playoffs odds positioning. This will be a key matchup with postseason implications.
