Miami Seeks Close-Out Win
NBA betting markets have opened the Miami Heat at -5 against the visiting New York Knicks in a pivotal Game 6 on Friday.
A win is enough to see Jimmy Butler and the Heat progress to the Eastern Conference Finals, so a lot is on the line in South Beach.
The Knicks look to keep the series alive, but winning on the road hasn’t been easy, which is reflected by the sportsbook line.
Knicks Come Up Clutch
NBA lines got it right when making the Knicks -3½ favorites for Game 5, when they prevailed 112-103.
Jalen Brunson was one again the one calling the shots on the floor. He has transformed this team, but they have their hardest game ahead.
Winning Game 6 on the road in Miami is about as tough as it gets. The Heat play a different brand of basketball at Kaseya Center, so the Knicks need to call on all their talent to cover the sport betting spread.
Brunson scored 38 points last time on the floor, and he might need a repeat of that effort. Julius Randle was hindered with an eye injury, but he still chimed in with big buckets at the right time.
Our concern is that the Knicks have covered just one of their last five spreads against the Heat. They are 2-3 against the spread in their last five games in Miami, so they need to turn that around to take the series back to Madison Square Garden.
Despite being +5 underdogs, if they hold a first-half lead, live betting markets should have the Knicks favored to win outright.
Heat Love Big-Game Situations
One thing about the Miami Heat over the last few years is that they turn up for the big games, which is the case on Friday.
NBA odds have them favored to win, so there is a fair amount of pressure to perform. However, they usually rise to the occasion and prevail.
We loved what we saw defensively from the Heat in Games 3 and Game 4. They limited the Knicks to 86 and 101 points respectively, so a similar effort sees them winning and covering the spread in Game 6.
Jimmy Butler scored only 19 points on Wednesday, but he said it doesn’t matter what he scores.
“It doesn’t matter if I score 40 or 50 or 19 or nine, we always have enough to win,” Butler said. “And if I score 10 points in that game and we win, that wouldn’t be an issue, wouldn’t be a question and I will continue to play the right way.”
The Heat just need to limit the scoring runs of the Knicks and they should have enough in the tank.
Knicks vs Heat Game Injuries
Knicks vs Heat Head-to-Head
The Heat have covered four of the last online gambling spreads, but the most recent meeting saw the Knicks win 112-103.
Miami has covered the last three spreads at home, including lines of -4½, -4 and -2.
Knicks vs Heat Game Information
- Game: Knicks (47-35) vs Heat (44-38)
- Day/Time: Friday, May 12, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
- Knicks vs Heat Live Stream: NBA Game Pass
Knicks vs Heat Betting Lines
Knicks vs Heat Picks and Prediction
It’s a good situation for betting on the Heat, who always turn up for the big games, especially at home.
We expect their defense to be on lockdown mode and force the Knicks to chase the game, which isn’t their forte.
Take the Heat -5 and include the under, in what should be a low-scoring affair.
New York is listed at +170 in our NBA Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Knicks, there’s a chance to win $170. Miami is -200, offering a chance to win $50 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives New York a 37.04% chance to win, with the Heat at 66.67%.
Knicks vs Heat Trends
Knicks vs Heat Edge
Knicks vs Heat Results
Knicks vs Heat Game Summary
Heat vs Knicks Previous Game(May 10, 2023)
Elite players have incredible intuition in the postseason. They know when their team needs them the most. They know when the moment is the most crucial. Miami’s Butler has played well this series, but we have yet to see one of his patented playoff takeovers. Look for Butler to flip the switch in Game 5. If Miami can end this series early, it will get critical rest ahead of a series with the Celtics or 76ers, who are battling in a tight series.
The New York Knicks crumbled in South Beach with back-to-back losses. The Knicks trail the Miami Heat 3-1 as they head back to the Big Apple. New York is desperately searching for answers on offense, having been held to 101 or fewer points in three of four games.