Can OKC Even Season Series Against Miami?
The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road against the Miami Heat on Tuesday, hoping to snap a 0-5 road losing streak. The Heat is favored, but they are also dealing with several key injuries and could be significantly shorthanded in this matchup.
Let’s check the latest NBA odds, stats, injury report, and NBA lines for Thunder vs Heat. We’ve plenty of NBA betting odds for you to consider.
Thunder Profitable ATS
The Thunder may be 18-22 and fifth in the Northwest Division, but they have consistently been one of the most profitable teams to bet on in the NBA.
After beating the Dallas Mavericks on the spread on Sunday, the Thunder’s record against the spread (ATS) is 24-16 (60%). What’s more, the Thunder’s record on the road as underdogs is better than their overall results at 10-5 ATS (66.7%).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the offensive charge with at least 30 points in three straight games. At 24, he’s having a breakout season and dropped 27 on the Heat last month in a tight loss.
More good news for the Thunder is their injury report is barren. Not a single questionable tag in the bunch, meaning OKC will be at full strength in Miami.
Heat Coming Fff Tough Loss
The Miami Heat hope to get back on track after suffering a disappointing loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. A loss against the best team in the East is nothing to be sad about, but Miami lost by one point off a Royce O’Neale putback with 3.2 seconds left.
Miami still has a winning record at 21-20, but the story isn’t as favorable for those wagering on the Heat ATS.
While Miami is barely over .500 straight up, they enter this game with the third-worst return on investment (ROI) against the spread in the NBA at -20.62%. That breaks down to a loss of -9.30 units thanks to a 16-23-2 ATS record.
You may think Miami is stronger at home in this department, but you’d be wrong.
At home, the Heat moved up (down?) to the second-worst ROI ATS in the NBA and lost bettors -8.30 units on the year.
To make matters worse, the Heat are also dealing with several injuries. Some are minor, but most are not. Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, and Nikola Jovic are all out for Tuesday. Meanwhile, Udonis Haslem, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, and Bam Adebayo are questionable.
Thunder vs Heat Game Injuries
Thunder vs Heat Head-to-Head
Miami enters Tuesday on a five-game winning streak against the Thunder dating back to 2021. The Heat hold a 1-0 season series lead after a 110-108 win in December. OKC covered that game as +3 underdogs, and the under 222½ cashed.
Thunder vs Heat Game Information
- Game: Thunder (18-22) vs Heat (21-20)
- Location: FTX Arena, Miami, FL
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Jan. 10, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Thunder vs Heat Live Stream: NBA Game Pass
Thunder vs Heat Betting Lines
Thunder vs Heat Picks and Prediction
This is a challenging game to call, but the trends suggest that the Thunder, as underdogs, are a strong bet compared to the Heat, as home favorites on the spread.
We also like the Over in this matchup, with OKC scoring at least 120 points in three of their last four games. Despite the Heat’s stellar defense, they are banged up and won’t have all their best defenders healthy.
Miami is listed at -175 in our Vegas NBA lines. If you wager $100 on the Heat, you can win $57. Oklahoma City is +150, offering a chance to win $150 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Miami a 63.64% chance to win, with the Thunder at 40.00%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
Thunder vs Heat Trends
Thunder vs Heat Edge
Thunder vs Heat Results
Thunder vs Heat Game Summary
Heat vs Thunder Previous Game (Dec. 14, 2022)
This season has been uncharacteristic for the Miami Heat (13-15) and the culture they have cultivated in the organization. On the other hand, the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-16) have been a surprise. They are still not a good team, but they no longer look like the worst in the NBA, now featuring actual talent.
The Heat won a game against the Indiana Pacers that seemingly came in a time machine, finishing 87-82, with the teams locking in defensively. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has remained the star of the show for the Thunder, tying his career-high 42 points in the 121-114 loss to the Dallas Mavericks.
The Thunder have been on a five-game road trip, going 2-3, losing the last three, but are back at home. Outside of one game, they have played well, and Gilgeous-Alexander has continued to put on scoring displays.
This may be another game for which the Heat don’t get up for, playing their opponent’s record, not the actual team. It’s the first of an away back-to-back, and with the inconsistency, the Heat have deployed recently, it’s tough to tell which team will show up. They have the defense to slow down the Thunder, but they might not give it 100% effort.
