Well, we got trounced the last time we did this, throwing up three air-balls that didn’t come close to drawing iron. It happens, and especially early in the season when things are so unsettled. Who knew the Pistons would blow a double-digit second-half lead at home to Portland? Who knew the Raptors and their league-worst offense (at the time) would simply carve up the Bucks when we took the under? And who saw Stephen Curry putting up just six first-half shots against the Kings – a team he loves to torment – when we needed him to just get to 30 points?
The basketball gods knew, that’s who. But we think we’ve got the edge on those spirits of the hardwood this time, and we’re offering some NBA parlay picks for Nov. 3 to get you back on the plus side of things Friday night.
Take the Heat to Roll…
The Miami Heat might have some legitimate issues, but they’re much better than this. The Washington Wizards? They are legitimately bad. At some point the Heat are going to put a complete night together against a crappy squad and just flat out roll.
This might be it.
Miami attacks the regular season like an old man at a buffet who knows there’s some fresh food coming out soon. He’s in no hurry, sees no need to get in line. He’ll get his and he’ll get it good when the time comes.
But right now there’s some delays, some trouble in the kitchen and his stomach is grumbling. Indeed, this man is feeling the urge to act. And the Heat (remember, this is about the NBA, not the all-you-can-eat…apologies for the duration of that analogy) are starting to feel that urge as well.
Take Bam Adebayo, who said this after the team blew a double-digit lead against Brooklyn the other night: “We don’t want to dig this hole too deep.”
Adebayo is one reason the Heat lead the NBA in field-goal attempts per game between 10 and 14 feet and rank second between 15 and 19 feet. Those are two zones where the Wizards are dead last in opponents’ field-goal percentage (53.6 and 64.7 percent, respectively). Bam and his buddies will eat them alive in the mid-range game, with an overdue Jimmy Butler finally putting up a big game.
Among the best parlays and picks NBA-style on Friday will involve taking the Heat at home to win big.
NBA Parlay Pick: Miami Heat -9
Today the Miami Heat will win a basketball game pic.twitter.com/unncBUWS4X
— HEAT NATION (@Zachppp) November 3, 2023
…And the Nets will Keep it Close in Chi-Town
If you’ve been paying attention early on, we like the Brooklyn Nets to do some pretty good things this season. It’s not a championship squad, but it will compete with what has the potential to be a very good defensive squad now filled with just enough scorers to keep pace in the competitive Atlantic.
The win in Miami on Wednesday saw Brooklyn close the game on a 38-17 surge. It was another showcase for Mikal Bridges, who is growing into his role as “The Man” in Brooklyn.
The Nets remain without star center Nic Claxton (ankle), which gives us some pause in making this bet online. But Brooklyn is 4-0 against the NBA spreads so far and we think it can play a close one against an up-and-down Bulls squad that’s 1-4 against the spread.
…And Lean Heavily on Jalen Williams vs Golden State
Here’s the deal. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out for this game (knee). In the last six games that Jalen Williams has played with Gilgeous-Alexander on the sidelines, he’s averaged 25 points.
Each of those contests saw Williams score at least 20 points, so taking the over at 19.5 sounds elementary. Add in the fact that the second-year standout is shooting 53% over his last three games and scored 19 twice against the Warriors as a rookie, and we have more reason to take this selection at the sportsbook.
NBA Parlay Pick: Jalen Williams Over 19½ Points
Questions Of The Day
Which NBA teams are the most profitable to parlay?
Well, it doesn’t matter much if another pick on your list doesn’t come to fruition, but right now the Nets and 76ers are the only unbeatens (both 4-0) against the spread.
Which NBA player props are the best to parlay?
We like simply pairing an over/under, such as Williams to score at least 20 points, with a game pick. It gives variety and an easy start to break down, as we did in analyzing how Williams fares when Gilgeous-Alexander doesn’t play.