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There Is A Universe Where Bronny Gets Drafted #1, Just Not Ours

This space on my daily schedule is usually reserved for a baseball article about whatever is on my mind that day. However, I have been captivated by an NBA-related topic this week, and I wanted to share my thoughts on it with you.

We’ve all been reading about Bronny James for months, with the potential second-generation pro baller getting ready to participate in the NBA Draft on June 27. I’ve been stirring up some ill will on social media from LeBron James sycophants by questioning whether Bronny is an NBA talent or not. I think he needs another year in college even to be considered ready to ride the bench in the Association. I don’t believe this is a wild opinion. His stats speak for themselves.

There Is A Universe Where Bronny Gets Drafted #1, Just Not Ours
Bronny James #6 of the USC Trojans/Henderson/Getty Images/AFP

I bring this up because this week, I’ve seen numerous reports that Bronny is seeing the most NBA betting action among all prospects to be drafted No. 1 next month. Up to 40% at some books.

I don’t know if you’re sniffing glue, crack, keyboard duster spray, or what, but if you bet on Bronny to be the first off the board, I question your ability to make financial decisions on your own. I would even suggest you delete your sportsbook account and put yourself under a conservatorship like Brittney Spears to avoid going broke. Your friends and family can thank me later.

Betting on Bronny to be the No. 1 pick is, and I can think of no better way to say this, the stupidest “popular” bet online I’ve seen since I started in this industry. If you are considering betting on this prop, read the rest of this article first. If you already bet on Bronny, I think it’s time to find a new hobby, as you might as well be using $100 bills as toilet paper at the nearest Taco Bell.



Betting on Bronny James: Spend that Money Somewhere Else

Before I tear into a 19-year-old kid, I want to blame LeBron for this situation in the first place. I’ve been highly annoyed that he is essentially forcing the NBA to draft his son despite the fact that he’s not that good. He doesn’t deserve to be in the position he’s in. He should not have been invited to combine in the first place, and the idea that he should be drafted even in the first round is ludicrous. It’s a shame that a deserving player will lose his spot to the NBA’s biggest nepo baby. I actually feel bad for Bronny. But not enough to not write this article.

But whatever, the NBA and most of the media have no problem strapping on some pads and bending the knee for King James. I’ve gotten used to it, and we must accept it until he decides to retire. We can’t control what NBA owners or major media outlets choose to do with the information they have.

What we can control, however, is what we do with the same information.


Bronny by the Numbers

The first thing you should do is actually read the stats on Bronny. Don’t just listen to what ESPN and the NBA have to say because, for whatever reason, they are biased and ride LeBron’s jock like a drunk guy at a mechanical bull tournament.

What stats am I referring to? How about his numbers last season at USC? Bronny averaged 4.8 PPG and 2.8 RPG while shooting 36.6% in six starts for the Trojans. Six starts. Yeah, he is not even a regular starter on a team that finished ninth in the Pac-12. The best player on that team, PG Boogie Ellis, isn’t even expected to be drafted before the second round.

Want some more numbers? How about 6-foot-1? That’s Bronny’s actual height, not the 6-foot-4 lie floating around as his listed size. Even if we overlook his tepid production, a player of his stature would have to have a lot of upside to be considered a starting PG in the NBA. Bronny has none of that, as he’s not a great scorer, creator of space, or facilitator.

And don’t talk to me about his combine numbers. The media and the NBA have been using the combine as some weird propaganda machine to make us believe Bronny is a top prospect. With enough articles about his amazing combine to choke a goat, I can understand why casual fans are optimistic. But we need to be smarter. I believe articles and reports like this are what led to the influx in betting action in his favor in the first place.

The truth is that in the two training games, Bronny did little to impress. He scored four points and had four rebounds in the first and ended up with 17 points and eight rebounds combined between the two scrimmages. I admit his second game was better, but he still shot 4-for-10 and had five turnovers. Also, 17 points in 42 minutes is nothing to get excited about.


Be Smart, and Don’t Bet on Bronny to Go No. 1

At the end of the day, this article has but one purpose. And that is to save you from needlessly losing money. It’s hard enough to beat the book. But placing a bet like Bronny going No. 1 is just giving your money away. It’s not going to happen.

Forget all his stats for a second, and put yourself in the place of an NBA GM. Are you drafting an undersized guard with as many heart attacks as Division 1 college basketball seasons?

Despite my feeling that Bronny is not an NBA talent, he probably will get drafted just because it’s what LeBron wants. Sadly, a player has so much control over what the league does, but that’s the world we live in now. I fear a team will draft him just to get his father to join the franchise. It might be good business, but it’s bad for basketball.

There are better player props if you are among the many who worship James and want to bet on Bronny.

At BetUS, Bronny is -200 to go in the second round, -110 to be drafted 46th or later, and -150 to end up on the Lakers. As much as I hate it, all three of these wagers are probably good bets.


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The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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