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2024 NBA Finals MVP Betting Odds Favorite, Sleeper Pick, Underdog

The NBA Finals are just around the corner, with the Boston Celtics facing off against the Dallas Mavericks this Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET. Catch all the action on ABC. This is the moment when the brightest stars come out to play, but the big question on everyone’s mind is: which star will steal the show and earn the coveted NBA Finals MVP title? Will it be a betting odds favorite? Will a sleeper pick surprise? Or will a longshot underdog upset the critics and take home MVP honors?

First, let’s talk about the Celtics. They were the NBA Championship betting favorites from the get-go, and boy, did they live up to the hype! With a stellar 64-18 record, they absolutely dominated the league. They breezed through the Eastern Conference playoffs with a solid 12-2 record, making their way to the Finals for the second time in three years. The Celtics are eyeing a chance to be the first team since the 2016-17 Warriors to have the best regular season record and take home the Finals trophy in the same year. Talk about making history!

2024 NBA Finals MVP Betting Odds Favorite, Sleeper Pick, Underdog
Boston's Jayson Tatum was the betting favorite for Finals MVP at -115, with Doncic next at +210. Tim Heitman/Getty Images/AFP.

On the flip side, we’ve got the Dallas Mavericks, who weren’t exactly on everyone’s radar at the start of the season, but after some game-changing trades for Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington, they turned things around big time. With newfound depth and defense, they plowed through three 50-win teams in the Western Conference playoffs, making it to the Finals for the first time since their epic 2011 run.

Now, let’s take a closer look at which Celtic or Maverick will take home the coveted NBA Finals MVP award.

Here’s a look at some NBA Odds to consider!

2024 NBA Finals MVP Odds

  • Jayson Tatum -115
  • Luka Doncic +210
  • Jaylen Brown +600
  • Kyrie Irving +1400
  • Derrick White +3500
  • Kristaps Porzingis +4000
  • Jrue Holiday +5000
  • Al Horford +25000
  • PJ Washington +25000
  • Derrick Jones Jr. +25000

It’s no shocker to see Tatum and Doncic leading the pack. These two are absolute powerhouse franchise players on their respective teams, burning up the stat sheets like Johnny Storm.


Jayson Tatum: The NBA Finals MVP Betting Favorite

Tatum might not have snagged the Eastern Conference Finals MVP (that honor went to Brown), but his stats are nothing short of impressive. He averaged 30.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 6.3 assists in that series alone. Meanwhile, Doncic took home the Western Conference Finals MVP, boasting averages of 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game. He’s nearly averaging a triple-double in the playoffs, which is insane!

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Jaylen Brown: The Top NBA Finals MVP Sleeper Pick

Brown was a standout in the 2022 NBA Finals, even though the Celtics fell short against the Warriors. This year, he’s averaging a playoff career-high of 25 points per game. His clutch performances in the conference finals earned him the Larry Bird Trophy. With all eyes on Tatum and Doncic, could Brown be the sleeper pick for the NBA Finals MVP this year?

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Luka Doncic: The 2nd Favorite for NBA Finals MVP Honors

Doncic, a regular season MVP finalist, has been on fire, leading the playoffs with a whopping 489 points through three rounds. That’s at least 48 more than any other player! His 28.8 points per game are unmatched in this series. He’s also the only player averaging over 20 shot attempts per game in the playoffs.

Kyrie Irving: The Ultimate Revenge Series

And let’s not forget Kyrie Irving. Once a Celtic, now he’s facing off against his former team with +1400 odds to snag the NBA Finals MVP. That makes him a sleeper pick with great value. He’s proven he can dominate offensively, especially when motivated. In the conference finals, he averaged 27 points per game, including a jaw-dropping 36-point performance in the Game 5 clincher. Over his first three NBA Finals appearances (all with the Cavs), he averaged 27.7 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 4.2 assists. Kyrie is no stranger to the big stage.

Jrue Holiday: A True NBA Finals MVP Underdog Pick

Jrue Holiday’s been lighting it up, averaging 17.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game since Game 3 against Cleveland in the second round. He’s been hitting an incredible 59.2 percent from the field and a scorching 45.0 percent from beyond the arc over those seven games. And let’s not forget, he’s taking on the toughest defensive assignments night in and night out.

Here’s where it gets interesting: Holiday could snag the NBA Finals MVP by shutting down Luka Doncic. We’ve seen this happen before—think Andre Iguodala in 2015 or Kawhi Leonard in 2014—when the player tasked with guarding LeBron James ended up winning the Finals MVP.

So, who are you backing for the NBA Finals MVP? Whether you’re betting on the favorite, eyeing a sleeper pick, or hoping for an underdog surprise, this Finals series is sure to be a barnburner. Get your bets in, and may the best player win!

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