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Best NBA Player Props: Bank on Bane, Thompson, and More 3/27/24

This is my favorite time of the season to make NBA predictions. We know which teams are motivated to win and which are starting to look forward to the offseason and 2025. This is extremely important when betting on the NBA.

I’m back breaking down Wednesday’s stacked 12-game slate and looking to cash a sweep with my best NBA player props. Before I get into that, here’s what you might have missed after the NBA provided another entertaining night on Tuesday.

Best NBA Player Props: Bank on Bane, Thompson, and More 3/27/24
Best NBA Player Props: Bank on Bane, Thompson, and More 3/27/24


Tuesday NBA Recap

All five favorites won outright on Tuesday. The Warriors defeated an undermanned Heat and secured a much-needed win to kick off their East Coast road trip. Despite a huge night from Zion Williamson, the Thunder took down the Pelicans 119-112. Luke Doncic led the Mavericks’ rout of the Kings as Dallas continued to battle out of the Play-In seeds.

The Western Conference standings continue to shake up every night.


The game of the night, and possibly one of the best we witnessed this season, went down in Milwaukee when the Lakers defeated the Bucks 128-124 in double overtime! Without LeBron James on the floor, the Lakers completed an improbable 19-point fourth-quarter comeback. Anthony Davis and Austin Reaves deserve their flowers.


Wednesday night’s schedule features twelve matchups and some high-profile head-to-heads. There are tons of NBA odds to sift through today, but I’ve done the research, so you don’t have to. Let’s get to the best NBA props tonight!


Best NBA Player Props Today

1. Knicks SG Josh Hart Over 12½ Rebounds (-143)

I was feverishly searching for a way to back the New York Knicks tonight in some capacity when they take on the Toronto Raptors, and Josh Hart kept staring at me. I hoped we’d get a Precious Achiuwa line, but I’m happy to settle with Hart. Hart is enjoying a breakout season and is a significant reason why the Knicks are in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. After scouring the NBA betting odds, I considered multiple props in this game, but I trust Hart.

The Raptors are without Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl again. Their interior clearly lacks size and strength right now. The Raptors allow the seventh-most rebounds per game, and the Knicks average the third-most. The Raptors are depleted, and Hart has exceeded this line in five of his last seven games. Toronto has allowed the most rebounds in the NBA in the previous 10 games. The Raptors are in full tank mode to finish with a bottom-six record in the league. This could be a blowout, but if Hart plays anything close to his 41.9 minutes per game average this month, he should fly over this number again.


2. NBA Prop Pick: Grizzlies SG Desmond Bane Over 19½ Points (-113)

I’m comfortable playing Bane up to this number tonight. The Memphis Grizzlies return home from a four-game West Coast road trip to host the Lakers. Memphis doesn’t have much incentive to win any games the rest of the season, as they are looking ahead to the draft and rebuilding this roster next season with Ja Morant. Despite that, I like their chances to keep things close tonight against the Lakers largely because Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane have returned to the lineup, and the Lakers played in a grueling double-overtime game last night.

Bane has been over this line in 19 of 32 games without Morant this season. He has led the team in terms of usage rate since he returned to the lineup. The Lakers allow the third-most three-point attempts. They have also allowed the sixth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards. Bane isn’t shy about letting it fly, so take his over tonight.


3. NBA Prop Pick: Rockets PF Amen Thompson Over 8½ Rebounds (-104)

Jabar Smith Jr. should return to Houston’s starting lineup tonight, but I’m going to the window on rookie Amen Thompson. We know that Rockets do-it-all center Alperen Sengun is likely done for the season after he suffered a severe ankle sprain and bone bruise in his knee. Sengun will be missed because he leads the Rockets in scoring and rebounding.

Some guys have stepped up in his absence, and I expect the fourth-overall pick to continue to see significant minutes. He is averaging 28.2 minutes per game without Sengun. He has played eight games without Sengun going over this line five times, finishing with 11, 4, 11, 8, 10, 8, 10, and 9 boards. The Thunder allow the sixth-most total rebounds per game and the most to opposing power forwards. OKC is playing on the second night of a back-to-back with travel, so their tired legs will lead to more rebounding chances for Thompson.


4. Hawks PG Dejounte Murray Over 9½ Assists (+102)

Our final prop pick is Dejounte Murray, who has been highly reliable for us this season. Life without Trae Young continues in Atlanta, with their All-Star point guard still sidelined after undergoing surgery on his left hand. Young could be traded this summer. For now, Dejounte Murray has a clear runway to lead Atlanta and has done a solid job.

In 20 games without Young this season, Murray has averaged 9.1 assists, going over this line in 11 of those 20 games. Portland is in the bottom 10 in assists allowed per game, and Murray is averaging 15.4 potential assists since Trae Young went down and 16.3 over his last six games. He has finished with double-digit assists in five consecutive games. I wouldn’t play this above this number and the plus-money here intrigues me.


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Questions Of The Day

Who is the most profitable ATS NBA team this season at home?

The Houston Rockets are the most profitable team against the spread at home this season, going 26-10-1 and hitting 72.2% of the time. They are just ahead of the Orlando Magic (24-10-0) at 70.6%.

Who is projected to lead the NBA in scoring tonight?

Thunder point guard Shai-Gilgeous Alexander is projected to lead the NBA in scoring tonight when the Thunder hosts the Rockets.


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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