Best NBA Player Props Today: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points Among Top Picks Dec. 5

Here are the best NBA prop bets for Thursday night’s action.

3 Best NBA Player Props to Bet Today

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points (-113)

Shai and his Oklahoma City Thunder head to Toronto on Thursday and it just feels like a big game for SGA. The kid from Ontario gets his points every night (at least 20 in all but one game so far) and has scored at least 30 in each of his last five road games.

The Raptors are an improving bunch (see if you can find a long-term bet online on them making the playoffs), but they can be chewed up in the middle. SGA leads the NBA in drives to the basket and is running away with points in that department.

The Western Conference @Kia Player of the Month for October & November is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander! #KiaPOTM pic.twitter.com/xRyomBRFGn

— NBA (@NBA) December 3, 2024

The superstar guard is averaging 27.5 points in his last four trips back home, just south of the number to reach for this wager. Only five teams in the NBA allow more points per game than Toronto and we think SGA can have a special night.

Bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points (-113)

2. Evan Mobley Over 16.5 Points and a 9.5 Rebounds (+206)

My second NBA expert pick today is on Evan Mobley, who has been a double-double machine lately with four in his last five games and eight in the last 11. The Nuggets have one of the best centers to ever play the game but he operates in space and on the perimeter so often that big men for the other team can rack up big numbers.

Opponents shoot a league-high 67.3% against Denver inside of five feet and that’s primarily where Mobley does his thing; only five players have more made shots in that area than the Cavs big man.

Another by-product of Nikola Jokic roaming around is the high number of offensive rebounds given up by the Nuggets; they’re one of only four teams that allow at least 12 per game. That’s not always Mobley’s jam (Jarrett Allen will get a handful), but it can’t hurt as he tries to hit double digits on the boards.

Evan Mobley was a pretty fun watch last night: pic.twitter.com/YhFaqGAC7o

— Mack Perry (@DevaronPerry) December 4, 2024

Mobley averaged 19.5 points while making 17 of 21 shots in two meetings with Denver last season and he got to 10 boards in one of them. This combo pick with one of the league’s most consistent performers is a great addition to your NBA betting slip.

Bet on Evan Mobley Over 16.5 Points and 9.5 Rebounds (+206)

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3. Brandon Miller Over 3.5 3-Pointers (-154)

We played almost this exact same bet a couple of days ago and it was an easy win, with Miller making seven triples against Philadelphia. The number has gone down for this one with the specter of OG Anunoby of the New York Knicks on the other side, but we think Miller will have enough looks to get there.

Brandon Miller went supernova last night.

Just a ridiculous display of high-level shot making, mismatch hunting, confidence, swagger, etc.

I hope the #Hornets get fully healthy for a stretch this season – the pieces of an entertaining and competitive team are all in place pic.twitter.com/gsgpFQQWvB

— Matt Alquiza (@malquiza8) December 4, 2024

Anunoby helped hold Miller to 4-for-14 FG (2-for-8 from arc) when they were matched up on the court in a meeting in Charlotte last week. He’ll be on him like odor on poop and probably will keep Miller to a low percentage, but the volume of attempts will be sky-high, especially if the heavily favored Knicks ever build a big lead.

Miller is averaging 5.3 made 3’s over his last eight games, even with that tough test vs Anunoby last week. We’ll lean into the budding star once again and select him for our last NBA player prop bet today.

Bet on Brandon Miller Over 3.5 3-Pointers (-154)

Question Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.