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NBA Best Player Props: Go to Towns From Downtown

Our NBA playoffs analysis has been an exhilarating and profitable journey. With a commendable 36– 23 record on our player prop bets, we’ve consistently delivered insightful predictions. We continued our winning streak on Wednesday with another 2-1 day. The elusive sweep may have evaded us, but our track record speaks for itself.

The NBA playoffs have been highly entertaining. The Boston Celtics took care of business over the shorthanded Cleveland Cavaliers. Boston advances to its third consecutive Eastern Conference Finals. Check the latest NBA Player Props lines.

NBA Best Player Props: Go to Towns From Downtown
Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks-Joshua Gateley/Getty Images/AFP

The other one seed out West, the Oklahoma City Thunder, fell behind 3-2 after being defeated by the Mavericks 104-92. Luka Doncic posted a 30-point triple-double, and Dallas dominated the paint. Daniel Gafford came through for us again, grabbing seven rebounds in the win.

On Thursday, we have a thrilling showdown ready to tip off. The defending champs are in action as they look to put the Timberwolves’ season to bed in Game 6 at 8:30 p.m. ET. There has been plenty of nail-biting drama in this series, and Minnesota is desperate to force a Game 7.

My NBA predictions have been red-hot, so let’s keep the excitement rolling with the best NBA player props for Thursday’s Nuggets vs. Timberwolves.

Best NBA Player Props Today

Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2½ Made Threes (+144)

If you’ve been riding with me this NBA season, you’ll know how much I enjoy a 3-point prop at plus money! There is certainly a tiny bit of concern after Karl-Anthony Towns went down in Game 5, grabbing at his knee, but I’m confident in his resilience. Despite the scare, he returned to the game and played the rest of the way. I expect he will receive nonstop treatment to be ready to play in tonight’s Game 6 in a win-or-go-home scenario for his team.

Towns had his second-best year shooting from beyond the arc in his career, knocking down 41.6% this season. Only in the 2017-18 season was he better, at 42.1%. In this series, he knocked down at least three shots from beyond the arc in Games 2 and 3. He has made at least two 3-pointers in four of five games against Denver.

In the first-round sweep of the Phoenix Suns, Towns made at least three 3-pointers in two of four games. He has splashed at least three shots from downtown in five of his previous seven games, playing at least 30 minutes at home. He has made at least three triples in four of his last eight regular-season meetings with Denver.

Denver has been phenomenal at defending the 3-point line this season, but I expect KAT and Anthony Edwards to produce in front of their home crowd at least one more time. If KAT’s mobility is hampered by his knee injury, we can expect him to be camped out at the 3-point line, looking to shoot every chance he gets. Count on Towns to let it fly tonight!


Nuggets SF Michael Porter Jr. Over 13½ Points (-126)

The sportsbook had juiced Michael Porter Jr’s lines in the playoffs, but he has struggled in back-to-back games, making this a terrific buy-low spot on the Nuggets’ third-best scorer. We were all over MPJ in the series with the Lakers, and he came through for us on multiple occasions.

So far in this series, Porter has been disappointing, but we can rely on him to bounce back. MPJ was the third point of attack for the defending champs all season, and with the Timberwolves defense honed in on slowing Jamal Murray, Denver will need him to step up.

Aaron Gordon delivered for the defending champs on the road in Games 3 and 4, but I expect MPJ to produce. He shot 4-for-7 from beyond the arc in the Game 1 loss and finished with 20 points. The entire Nuggets team was awful in the Game 2 blowout loss. In Game 3, he poured in 21 points in the first road game in this series.

He has followed it up with two duds. Game 4 was the Gordon explosion, where Porter attempted just four field goals – his fewest in a game since Jan. 25. In Game 5, he attempted 10 shots, but nothing was falling for him. There hasn’t been a shot that MPJ didn’t like, which makes him unique.

MPJ exceeded this line in all three meetings during the regular season when he played at least 30 minutes. He has scored at least 15 points in three of four career playoff games on the road against the Wolves. He has scored at least 14 points in 27 of his previous 37 games overall (73%) and 50 of 67 games playing at least 30 minutes during the regular season (75%). Since the All-Star break, Porter has scored at least 14 points in 22 of 28 games playing at least 30 minutes (78.5%).

The (-126) odds for this wager imply a 55% chance, and this has a hit rate of over 70% this season. The defense will be focused on slowing down Nikola Jokic, leaving MPJ with enough open looks to climb above this number. Count on him to contribute for Denver tonight despite Minnesota’s unflappable defense.



Questions Of The Day

Which NBA player is projected to score the most points in Thursday’s Timberwolves vs. Nuggets?

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic is projected to score the most points on Thursday night when Denver battles the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 6 of their second-round series.

What is the best NBA player prop bet value on Thursday night?

The best player prop bet value on Thursday night is Michael Porter Jr. to go over his total points betting line.

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