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Bet Warriors as Long Underdogs

Given the current betting lines, the Milwaukee Bucks should blow out the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are on the second game of a back-to-back and could be easy prey against the red-hot Bucks. But with such a wide spread and a whopping total, our NBA expert picks this Jan. 13 tout the underdogs. We’re feeling the Warriors as they get going against Milwaukee’s porous defense.


Bet Warriors as Long Underdogs
Bet Warriors as Long Underdogs

Warriors vs Bucks Game Information

  • Game: Warriors (18-20) vs Bucks (26-12)
  • Date/Time: Saturday, Jan. 13, 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
  • Warriors vs Bucks Live Stream: NBA Game Pass


Golden State is being given 11½ points based on the current NBA odds. The Warriors are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest. But the Bucks are only 3-7 ATS when playing with a “rest advantage.” The total of 246 points is also thanks to Milwaukee averaging over 125 points at home. And four of these teams’ last six meetings have gone over their totals.

Warriors vs Bucks Odds and Spreads

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  • Golden State is 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record
  • The Bucks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite of 11 points or greater
  • The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a visiting underdog
  • Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in non-conference games
  • The ‘over’ is 4-2-0 when Golden State plays without rest
  • The total has gone over in six of the seven games Milwaukee was a home favorite of 11 points or greater
  • The total has gone over in Milwaukee’s last five Saturday home games
  • Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 30+ in four of his last five games versus Golden State


Against The Spread Pick: Take the Points on the Warriors at +11½ (-110)

Talk about underestimation. Golden State is being spotted 11½ points and we will gladly take it. If you look at the recent trends, the Warriors have been bettable as a visitor. The team is 5-1 on the second game of a back-to-back and putting up nearly 120 points. And the Warriors match up well with the Bucks.

Milwaukee has done a poor job covering spreads of double figures. The Bucks under Adrian Griffin are just a mid-tier defense. They give up nearly 119 points at home and nearly 45 rebounds, which ranks in the bottom third of the league. With all these points and boards Milwaukee allows, we can’t lay that many points.

Golden State could be tired from facing a frisky Chicago team. But Milwaukee’s bad defense and rebounding affords the Warriors the chance to cover using their offense. As such, the best bets for NBA this Jan. 13 are on GS’ spread.


Over/Under Pick: Bet Total to Go Over 246 (-110)

Fade defenses in this game. The sportsbook set such a high total and the public is still betting on the ‘over’. We can see each team scoring 120 points here. And since it will not be as big of a blowout as the spreads indicate, the star players will play often and put up points.

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Warriors vs Bucks Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks 126, Golden State Warriors 122



Questions Of The Day

Can the Golden State Warriors cover the spread against the Milwaukee Bucks?

With an 11½-point spread on the NBA betting lines, Golden State can cover the spread against Milwaukee.

What is the free throw percentage for the Milwaukee Bucks in the game against the Golden State Warriors?

The Bucks shot 9-of-11 from the free-throw line in their last game against the Warriors.

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