Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks and NBA Prop Bets for April 11: Denver (-7) Makes It 2-0 Post-Malone
- Back Denver (-7) to roll at home vs the Memphis Grizzlies
- Bet Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made 3-pointers
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The Denver Nuggets responded to the abrupt dismissal of their head coach (and general manager) by soundly beating Sacramento on Wednesday. All five of Denver’s starters scored in double figures as the collective effort was what the Nuggets needed to halt a four-game skid. We, along with the NBA game odds, expect Denver to continue as it hosts a potentially weary Memphis squad coming off a game on Thursday.
You could even say the @nuggets are… Post Malone https://t.co/U7vYxfKfss pic.twitter.com/S5lJRgxBlN
— Dylan Park-Pettiford (@dyllyp) April 8, 2025
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction
Denver has consistently beaten Memphis, going 8-2 in their last 10 matchups per NBA betting tips. While Memphis has outperformed the lines when playing without rest (8-6 against the spread (ATS)), it has not performed well in recent games. Memphis has won three straight but all have come against subpar teams or ones playing without rest. The Nuggets should handle business here.
Nuggets 126, Grizzlies 115
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Best NBA Player Props Today
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Nuggets F Aaron Gordon Over 25.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts (-130)
Denver did not ruin its title hopes by firing Malone. Instead, this could be a boon for the team as players other than Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray have picked up the slack. This includes Aaron Gordon, who had a 21-point, five-assist outing against Sacramento. Bet on him to continue putting up stats by betting his NBA player props to go over.
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Grizzlies G Desmond Bane Under 20.5 Points (-112)
Desmond Bane plays well in the second game of a back-to-back, averaging 18.1 points. But he also tends to underwhelm against Denver. The fifth-year pro has averaged under 14 points in his last 10 games versus the Nuggets. He scored 15 points or fewer in seven of these games. Bet against his points props.
Fly by didn’t matter, MPJ sank that three 👌 pic.twitter.com/OuhYTbPbKu
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) April 10, 2025
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Nuggets F Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-150)
While Bane cools off, Michael Porter Jr.’s NBA prop pick looks hot. The 26-year-old averages 20.4 points with 3.6 3-pointers in his last five games. He’s hit three or more 3s in four of these games. “MPJ” is usually efficient, while Memphis gives up nearly 40 3s a game. He should hit at least three.
Bet These Grizzlies vs Nuggets Player Prop Picks Here
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Moneyline Pick
Denver has not been the best team to back as a favorite as its 65.7% winning rate (23-12) is “mid.” But Denver has also consistently beaten Memphis, which has one win against a team with a winning record (Detroit) since Feb. 2 (30 games ago). The Nuggets are still a solid bet on the odds for NBA championship. They should win comfortably.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Spread Pick
While Denver has short odds for NBA Finals, covering on a game-to-game basis is tricky. Denver is just 8-9 ATS when favored by 6.5 to 9.5 points. But Memphis is also 0-3 ATS in its last three games as an underdog 6.5 to 9.5 points. Denver is also 7-3 ATS in its last 10 against Memphis. This is a matchup that favors the hosts.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Total Pick
We’re betting over on the totals here, even if it’s over 240 points. These teams average 120+ a game. Factor in how 65% of Denver’s home games, which leads the NBA, have gone over the total (26-14), along with 73.7% of Memphis’s games when it has less rest than its opponent (14-5). This is a no-brainer NBA pick tonight.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets How to Watch
- Game: Memphis Grizzlies (47-33) vs Denver Nuggets (48-32)
- Date/Time: Friday, April 11, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
- Grizzlies vs Nuggets Live Stream: NBA League Pass
Check here for Grizzlies vs Nuggets stats
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Question of the Day
What is Denver’s over/under record when the total is 237 or more?
The ‘over’ is 13-9 for Denver’s games with a total of at least 237 points.