Heat vs Kings Expert NBA Picks: Best ATS, Over/Under Bets for Jan 6
- Get the best Heat vs Kings betting odds at BetUS.
- Both teams are going through roster or coaching changes.
- Even with the Heat’s offensive issues, the Kings can force the over.
- Find my top Heat vs Kings NBA picks ahead.



We preview the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings game on January 6 and give you our NBA expert picks today.
Heat vs Kings Game Information
- Game: Miami Heat (17-16) vs. Sacramento Kings (17-19)
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
- Day/Time: Monday, Jan. 6, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Heat vs Kings Live Stream: NBA League Pass
Find the latest Heat vs Kings stats here.
Heat vs Kings Betting Preview: 2 Best ATS and Over/Under Picks
1. Sacramento Kings ATS -3.5
This season has not gone as planned for the Sacramento Kings, and it is one of the biggest reasons head coach Mike Brown was fired and replaced by interim coach Doug Christie. While Christie’s tenure started with a loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, the Kings won four straight.
This coaching change has sparked something in the Kings’ offense, which hasn’t lived up to early NBA predictions, especially given the names on the roster. They are averaging 115.4 points per game this season, but in the four wins, that has bounced up to 122.5, second highest in the league.
FINAL: Kings defeat the Warriors 129-99.
👑 Malik Monk: 26 PTS, 12 AST, 4 STL
👑 Domantas Sabonis: 22 PTS, 13 REB, 7 AST
👑 Kevin Huerter: 16 PTS, 2 STLKings Win presented by @RedHawkCasino pic.twitter.com/QEhh2jyHKt
— Sacramento Kings (@SacramentoKings) January 6, 2025
The Kings’ offense is starting to click into place, especially with De’Aaron Fox. Fox has averaged 30 points per game since Christie took over, above his season average of 26.7. But he missed the win over the Warriors with an injury. The rest of the lineup is also stepping up, with Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan, and Domantas Sabonis averaging over 18 points per game. Monk especially stepped up with 26 points and 12 assists to beat the Warriors.
This matchup will be between these two teams that are reacting differently to their situations. The Kings are finding some momentum under an interim head coach, while the Heat are collapsing over the drama around Butler. That is why the Kings are a great option in NBA predictions today.
Bet $200 on NBA, Get $450 Bonus on a first-time deposit! Power up your picks!
2. Heat vs Kings Over 223
It is hard to imagine that the Heat now have much life in them. In their last two games at home, they have lost by double figures, which is why the Kings are a great option to cover the spread in this matchup.
Despite that, betting on the points total in this game is a little complicated. The Kings’ offense is clicking on all cylinders, but the Heat’s are not. In the last two games, one without Butler and another where his trade demands were looming, the Heat’s offense struggled.
Miami Heat stated: “Jimmy Butler and his representative have indicated that they wish to be traded, therefore, we will listen to offers.” 👀
(via @miamiheat) pic.twitter.com/FeQeDYiasg
— Complex Sports (@ComplexSports) January 4, 2025
The last loss to the Jazz was the worst. The Jazz had lost five games straight and scored 136 on the Miami Heat, playing without their leader, Butler, who had thrown a wrench into the locker room. Given all the drama and being without one of their best players, it seems pretty clear the Heat will have a difficult time going forward till this issue is resolved.
The inability to predict how the Heat’s offense will look is a big reason why NBA betting has concerns about the over/under for this game. However, the over seems like a solid option, mainly because the Heat’s defense struggled without Butler, while the Kings’ offense is soring, making the over the best choice.
Bet this Pick: Heat vs Kings Over 223 Points
More NBA Picks Today
- Pacers vs Nets Same Game Parlay Picks
- Bucks vs Raptors Same Game Parlay Picks
- Suns vs 76ers Prediction and Odds
- Best NBA Player Props Today
Questions Of The Day
Who is going to lead this game in scoring?
Monk has been great for the Kings recently and should lead this game in scoring with Fox sidelined.
Is there a prop bet to pay attention to in this game?
Tyler Herro will need to take more of an offensive role, leading to him hitting the over on his points total.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.