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Kyrie Irving Leads Today’s Best NBA Player Props

We split our bets last night, but my track record in the playoffs speaks for itself. With an impressive 34– 22 record on NBA player prop bets since the start of the postseason, my expertise and research have consistently delivered profitable insights. This trend, established since the regular season, is set to continue.

On Wednesday, we have two games ready to tip off. The Celtics are in action as they look to put the Cavaliers season to bed in Game 5 at 7:00 p.m. ET. The TNT doubleheader will be capped off with the Thunder and the Mavericks battling with the series knotted up at 2-2. My NBA predictions have been red-hot, so let’s keep things rolling with the best NBA player props for Wednesday.

Kyrie Irving Leads Today’s Best NBA Player Props
Kyrie Irving #11 of the Dallas Mavericks | Tim Heitman/Getty Images/AFP

 

Best NBA Player Props Today

Cavaliers PF Evan Mobley Over 16½ Points

The Cleveland Cavaliers season is on its final legs. In this series, they are headed back to Boston down 3-1, and the Celtics are massive favorites ahead of tonight’s Game 5. I expect the Celtics to close the series on their home floor tonight. Donovan Mitchell has been a machine for Cleveland, but he missed Game 4 and is questionable again tonight. Quietly, Evan Mobley has performed exceptionally well against Boston. Mobley has been the second-best player for the Cavs in this series, and I expect another solid night out of the 6-foot-11-inch power forward from USC.

Here’s a look at some NBA odds to consider!

 

Mobley has scored 17, 21, 17, and 19 points in this series. He has stepped up in the absence of Jarrett Allen, who is listed as questionable again ahead of Game 5. Allen is dealing with a severe rib injury, so even if he returns, I expect the Cavs to manage his minutes and need Mobley’s production. If Mitchell is out again, we can expect Mobley’s prop to jump to 17 or 18½. With Al Horford as Boston’s lone big the majority of the time, the paint is wide open to attack. Fire up Mobley again with the Cavs season on the ropes.

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Mavericks PG Kyrie Irving Over 21½ Points

I was surprised to see Kyrie Irving’s point prop set at just 21½. With Luka Doncic hampered by injuries, Kyrie and his teammates have been forced to step and produce. Trade deadline acquisition PJ Washington has been the story for the Mavs in this series, leading Dallas to wins in Games 2 and 3, and I expect him to continue to play confidently. For some reason, Kyrie hasn’t been aggressive looking for his shot. He has been tremendous on the defensive end of the floor with the effort and tenacity, but that has not translated to the offensive end yet in this series. Irving has only hit this line in Game 3 of this series. With the Mavs desperate to avoid going down 3-2 on the road, I expect we will see Irving look for his shot.

The Thunder have been excellent defensively this postseason, but they have struggled to slow down the Mavs three-point shooting. Defending corner three-pointers has been a weakness all season for OKC. The Thunder allowed the second-most corner threes per game (4.5) behind only the Chicago Bulls. Irving led all Mavs players, shooting 49.3% from the corner this season. He has exceeded this line in 5 of 10 playoff games. He scored at least 22 points in 28 of his previous 31 games, playing at least 35 minutes (90%). I expect a great showing tonight from playoff Kyrie. I expect a bounce-back showing from playoff Kyrie!

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Mavericks C Daniel Gafford Over 6½ Rebounds

The gift that keeps on giving. We cashed on Daniel Gafford at 6½ rebounds in Games 1 and 4, and we’re backing it again! I went right back to the big man in Game 2 after the sportsbook bumped this number to 7½ but lost by the hook after he finished with seven boards. The sportsbook has dropped this number back to 6½ after Daniel Gafford finished with five rebounds in Game 3. Gafford went to the locker room because of a shoulder injury, but he played in the second half. Dallas has been too dominant on the glass not to back him again.

The Thunder were one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA. Oklahoma City lacks size and length outside of Chet Holmgren. This will cost them as we get deeper into the playoffs. They should have been in the trade market for a big like Dallas was at the deadline. The Thunder sat on their hands while the Mavs went out and acquired Gafford from the Washington Wizards at the trade deadline.

Gafford averaged 20 minutes per game in Round 1 against the Clippers and played just 20 minutes in Game 3 after playing 27 minutes in both Games 1 and 2 against OKC. He was back up to 23 minutes in Game 4, so we can expect him to play somewhere around 25 minutes again tonight.

The Thunder allowed the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing centers and the seventh-most rebounds per game overall. Dallas remains without Maxi Kleber after his shoulder injury in Round 1, which has only increased Gafford‘s minutes. Gafford finished with 10, 7, 15, 11, 7, 5, and 8 rebounds in seven games without Kleber. Gafford played OKC three times during the regular season: once with Washington, where he had nine rebounds, and twice since being traded to Dallas when he finished with 9 and 15 rebounds! Since the trade to Dallas, Gafford has pulled down at least seven rebounds in 17 of 24 games (70%), where he played at least 20 minutes. He finished with seven rebounds seven times with Dallas, so this could be a sweat again. Derrick Lively has split time with Gafford off the bench but has not outproduced him. I’m trusting Gafford to dominate the glass again.

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Questions Of The Day

Who was the most profitable NBA playoff team ATS this season at home?


The Oklahoma City Thunder were the most profitable playoff team against the spread at home this season, going 29-16 and hitting 64.4% of the time.

Who is projected to score the most points in tonight’s Mavericks vs. Thunder?


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to lead the Thunder vs. Mavericks in scoring tonight. He has three consecutive games with 30+ points.

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