Mavericks vs Kings Prediction, Picks and 2025 NBA Play-In Odds for April 16: Ride Sacramento (-4.5)
- Kings (-4.5) is one of the best NBA expert picks on the board
- Over 214.5 in Mavs vs Kings has value with recent defensive trends
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The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet on Tuesday night in the NBA Play-In Tournament, with a potential playoff berth on the line. According to the latest NBA game odds, Sacramento is a 4.5-point home favorite, and the total sits at 214.5.
The Kings won two of three in the season series and will look to take advantage of Dallas’ frontcourt depth issues once again. The winner advances to play Memphis for the No. 8 seed in the West.
Mavericks vs Kings NBA Play-In Prediction
Sacramento matches up well here. The Kings have held Dallas under 100 points twice this season and dominated the glass in those wins. With their depth at forward and the Mavericks’ struggles defending the perimeter, the Kings should take care of business at home.
They’re also a top-10 team in rebounding rate and lead the league in second-chance points in April. Don’t overthink this — Sacramento is the right side based on the NBA play-in odds.
Mavericks vs Kings Best Player Props Today
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PJ Washington Over 14.5 Points (-125)
Washington has cleared this line in six of his last eight games, and Sacramento’s defensive focus on Anthony Davis opens up space for role scorers. He’s averaging over 33 minutes per game and has been aggressive getting to the rim. The Kings allow nearly 48 points in the paint per game (bottom third in the league), making this one of my favorite NBA player prop picks tonight.
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Domantas Sabonis Over 13.5 Rebounds (-120)
Domantas Sabonis has been an elite glass cleaner all season and is averaging 13.9 RPG in his last 10 games. Dallas ranks in the bottom five in opponent offensive rebounds and dead last in rebound rate. With Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford prone to foul trouble, Sabonis should dominate the paint and give the Kings second-chance chances all night. Based on the latest NBA news and matchup context, he’s in line for a big night on the boards.
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Zach LaVine Over 3.5 Made Threes (+120)
LaVine has taken 8+ threes in four of his last five games, and Dallas is allowing the 6th-highest opponent 3PT% in April. In a game where Sacramento will need spacing to keep the paint open for Sabonis, LaVine could easily get hot early. This is a great plus-money value in today’s pool of NBA prop bets, especially with how the Mavericks scramble on defense against wings.
Bet These Mavericks vs Kings Player Props Here
Mavericks vs Kings Moneyline Pick: Kings (-185)
The Kings have the better roster top to bottom and the more stable recent form. They’ve already beaten Dallas twice, and in both wins they held the Mavericks to under 100 points, per NBA betting tips. The bench edge, rebounding control and home court give Sacramento the edge. The Kings are worth backing straight up on the moneyline, especially with Dallas showing signs of fatigue late in the season.
Bet on Mavericks vs Kings Moneyline Pick (-185)
Mavericks vs Kings Spread Pick: Kings -4.5 (-115)
Dallas is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games when playing on one day of rest while the Kings have quietly covered 5 of its last 8 overall. Sacramento is the more physical team and dominated the paint in the previous matchups. Dallas has been getting beat badly on the boards, and it’s costing them second-chance buckets. Sacramento -4.5 is one of the sharper NBA expert picks tonight.
Mavericks vs Kings O/U Pick: Over 214.5 (-110)
These teams combined for 257 points in their last meeting, and the Over has hit in four of the Kings’ last five. Dallas has also allowed 110+ in eight of their last 10 games. Even with the lower total at 214.5, the pace of play and high usage stars should drive scoring. The Over is the right side here for NBA predictions, especially considering how poorly each team defends the three.
Bet on Mavericks vs Kings Over 214.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Kings How to Watch
- Game: Dallas Mavericks (39-43) vs Sacramento Kings (40-42)
- Time/Date: 10:00 p.m. ET | Wednesday, April 16
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
- Mavericks vs Kings Live Stream: NBA League Pass
Check here for Mavericks vs Kings stats.
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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Questions of the Day
What was the Over/Under record in the Mavericks vs Kings season series?
The total went Over in 1 game and Under in 2, so the Under hit 2-1 in the season series.
Who is the leading scorer for each team heading into the Play-In game?
- Dallas Mavericks: Anthony Davis leads with 20.0 points per game.
- Sacramento Kings: De’Aaron Fox leads with 25.0 points per game.
